Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 14, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,878 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

17/12/12

This week

14/01/13

Liberal

45%

44%

National

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

54%

Labor

50.1%

45%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.