Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 15, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,907

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 41% 42% 41% 42% 42%
National 2% 2% 3% 4% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43% 44% 44% 46% 45%
Labor 38% 40% 41% 39% 39%
Greens 10% 9% 8% 8% 10%
Other/Independent 9% 7% 7% 7% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Total Lib/Nat 50% 50% 50% 51% 51%
Labor 50% 50% 50% 49% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.