Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 6, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,896

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 38% 42% 42% 41% 42%
National 3% 4% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 46% 45% 44% 45%
Labor 37% 39% 38% 38% 38%
Greens 12% 8% 10% 11% 11%
Other/Independent 10% 7% 8% 7% 6%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Total Lib/Nat 48% 51% 51% 51% 51%
Labor 52% 49% 49% 49% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.