Federal politics – voting intention

May 9, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size =1,856

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 43% 44% 44%
National 3% 4% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 47% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0 35% 35% 35% 35%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 9% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 8% 8% 9% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 53% 54% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 47% 46% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.