Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 22, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,846

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 45% 47% 46% 46%
National 3% 3% 4% 4%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 48% 50% 50% 50%
Labor 38.0 32% 30% 31% 32%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 9% 10% 9% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 57% 57% 56%
Labor 50.1% 45% 43% 43% 44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.