Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 6, 2015

Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q: If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

(sample size = 1,774 respondents)

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

8/09/15

2 weeks ago 22/09/15 Last week

29/9/15

This week 6/10/15
Liberal   36% 37% 40% 41%
National 4% 4% 4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 41% 44% 44%
Labor 33.4% 38% 37% 35% 35%
Greens 8.6% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

8/09/15

2 weeks ago 22/09/15 Last week

29/9/15

This week 6/10/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 49% 52% 52%
Labor 46.5% 52% 51% 48% 48%

NB. Except The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.