Federal politics – voting intention

May 20, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,855 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 22/4/14

2 weeks ago

06/05/14

Last week

12/5/14

This week

19/05/14

Liberal

 

39%

38%

38%

38%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

39%

40%

Greens

8.6%

11%

10%

9%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

5%

5%%

Other/Independent

6.9%

6%

8%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 8/4/14

2 weeks ago

06/05/14

Last week

12/5/14

This week

19/05/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.