Federal politics – voting intention

May 5, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q.If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,774 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

7/4/15

2 weeks ago 21/4/15 Last week

28/4/15

This week 5/5/15
Liberal   36% 37% 36% 37%
National   4% 3% 4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 41% 40% 40%
Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 39%
Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 2% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

7/4/15

2 weeks ago 21/4/15 Last week

28/4/15

This week 5/5/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 47% 47%
Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 53% 53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.