Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 28, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,793 respondents  

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

30/6/15

2 weeks ago 14/7/15 Last week

21/7/15

This week 28/7/15
Liberal   38% 38% 38% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 4%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 41% 41% 40%
Labor 33.4% 39% 38% 38% 38%
Greens 8.6% 11% 11% 11% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 9% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

30/6/15

2 weeks ago 14/7/15 Last week

21/7/15

This week 28/7/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 48% 47%
Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 52% 53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.