Federal voting intention

May 24, 2016

Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

17/5/16

2 weeks ago

10/5/16

4 weeks ago

26/4/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 38%   39% 38% 36%    
National 3%   3% 4% 4%    
Total Liberal/National 41%   42% 42% 40%   45.6%
Labor 37%   38% 38% 39%   33.4%
Greens 9%   9% 10% 10%   8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% na na  
Palmer United Party na   na 1% 1%   5.5%
Other/Independent 9%   8% 9% 11%   6.9%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 49%   49% 49% 48%   53.5%
Labor 51%   51% 51% 52%   46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,794. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.