Federal voting intention

May 2, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 25/4/17 2 weeks ago 18/4/17 4 weeks ago 4/4/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 35% 34% 33% 35%
National 2% 3% 3% 2%
Total Liberal/National 38%   37% 36% 37%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 37% 36%   34.7%
Greens 9% 10% 10% 10% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3% 3% 3% 3%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7% 8% 8% 8%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 7% 6% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 47%   47% 46% 47%   50.4%
Labor 53%   53% 54% 43%   49.6%

Sample = 1,801. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.