Firmness of voting intention

Sep 2, 2013

Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election?

 

Total

Gave voting intention

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Other party/ Independent

 

Total

5 Aug

Total

19 Aug

Total

26 Aug

I will definitely not change my mind

54%

57%

63%

39%

20%

44%

46%

47%

It is very unlikely I will change my mind

27%

25%

25%

39%

33%

30%

32%

30%

It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops

15%

14%

9%

17%

39%

21%

17%

18%

Don’t know

4%

4%

3%

6%

8%

5%

5%

4%

54% of those who gave their voting intention say they will definitely not change their mind before the election, 27% say it is very unlikely they will change their mind and 15% say it is quite possible they will change. This represents a significant increase in certainty about voting over the last week.

Other party and independent voters (39%) were most likely to say it is possible they will change their mind.