Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 3, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,903 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

6/5/13

2 weeks ago

20/5/13

Last week

27/5/13

This week

3/6/13

Liberal

 

44%

45%

45%

45%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

33%

35%

34%

35%

Greens

11.8%

9%

8%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

10%

9%

10%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

6/5/13

2 weeks ago

20/5/13

Last week

27/5/13

This week

3/6/13

Liberal

49.9%

56%

55%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

45%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Renewable energy target

Jun 3, 2013

Q. Australia currently has a target of having 20 per cent of our energy generated from renewable resources (e.g. hydro, solar, wind farms, geothermal) by 2020. Do you think this target is too high, not high enough or about right?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Not high enough

40%

47%

31%

67%

Too high

11%

6%

19%

7%

About right

33%

36%

33%

17%

Don’t know

16%

11%

17%

9%

40% think that the 2020 target of 20% renewable energy is not high enough, 33% think it is about right and 11% think it is too high.

Those most likely to think it is not high enough were Greens voters (67%), Labor voters (47%), aged 18-24 (45%) and aged 55+ (45%).

19% of Liberal/National voters and 17% of men thought it was too high.

Wind farms

Jun 3, 2013

Q. In general, do you support or oppose building wind farms in Australia to produce renewable energy?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total support

76%

82%

71%

89%

Total oppose

11%

7%

15%

3%

Strongly support

29%

35%

24%

56%

Support

47%

47%

47%

33%

Oppose

8%

6%

11%

3%

Strongly oppose

3%

1%

4%

Don’t know

13%

11%

13%

8%

76% support building wind farms in Australia to produce renewable energy and 11% oppose. Support was over 70% across all demographic groups.

Compulsory vaccination

Jun 3, 2013

Q. Do you support or oppose the compulsory vaccination of children against diseases like measles, mumps and diphtheria?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total support

87%

90%

90%

86%

Total oppose

7%

4%

8%

7%

Strongly support

58%

66%

60%

49%

Support

29%

24%

30%

37%

Oppose

4%

2%

4%

4%

Strongly oppose

3%

2%

4%

3%

Don’t know

6%

7%

3%

8%

87% support the compulsory vaccination of children and 7% oppose.

Support was over 80% for all demographic groups including 92% of respondents aged 55+.

Enrolment of non-vaccinated children in childcare

Jun 3, 2013

Q. Do you support or oppose childcare centres having the right to refuse to enrol children who have not been vaccinated?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total support

78%

80%

82%

71%

Total oppose

11%

9%

11%

18%

Strongly support

45%

47%

47%

41%

Support

33%

33%

35%

30%

Oppose

7%

6%

6%

12%

Strongly oppose

4%

3%

5%

6%

Don’t know

10%

11%

7%

11%

78% support childcare centres having the right to refuse to enrol children who have not been vaccinated and 11% oppose. Support was over 70% for all demographic groups and highest for respondents aged 65+ (88%) and NSW residents (82%).

Privatisation of ABC and SBS

Jun 3, 2013

Q. Would you support or oppose the privatisation of the ABC and SBS?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total support

15%

11%

21%

3%

Total oppose

57%

68%

51%

75%

Strongly support

4%

3%

6%

Support

11%

8%

15%

3%

Oppose

25%

24%

28%

22%

Strongly oppose

32%

44%

23%

53%

Don’t know

28%

21%

28%

22%

15% support the privatisation of the ABC and SBS and 57% oppose. 28% did not give an opinion.

Strongest opposition came from men (61%), people aged 55+ (74%) and those on incomes under $1,000pw (68%).

Advertising of sports betting

Jun 3, 2013

Q. Would you support or oppose banning all advertising of sports betting during TV and radio sports broadcasts?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total support

78%

78%

77%

85%

Total oppose

12%

11%

15%

8%

Strongly support

51%

53%

47%

62%

Support

27%

25%

30%

23%

Oppose

9%

8%

12%

8%

Strongly oppose

3%

3%

3%

Don’t know

10%

11%

7%

8%

78% support banning all advertising of sports betting during TV and radio sports broadcasts and 12% oppose.

Strongest support came from those aged 55+ (84%) and Greens voters (85%).

Manufacturing industry

Jun 3, 2013

Q. Thinking about the Australian manufacturing industry, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

 

Aug 2012

With Government support, Australia can have a successful manufacturing industry

61%

70%

56%

60%

63%

There is no future for manufacturing in Australia and Government support would be a waste of money

22%

13%

31%

23%

17%

Don’t know

17%

17%

13%

18%

21%

61% agree that “With Government support, Australia can have a successful manufacturing industry” and 22% agree “There is no future for manufacturing in Australia and Government support would be a waste of money”. Those who think that “Australia can have a successful manufacturing industry” has dropped 2% and those thinking “There is no future for manufacturing in Australia” has increased 5% since this question was last asked in August.

Those most likely to agree that “Australia can have a successful manufacturing industry” were aged 35+ (65%), Labor voters (70%) and people on income of $600-$1,000pw (67%).

Those most likely to agree that “There is no future for manufacturing in Australia” were men (28%), Liberal/National voters (31%) and people on incomes over $1,600pw (29%).

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