Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 6, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,832 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

9/7/12

2 weeks ago

23/7/12

Last week

30/7/12

This week

6/8/12

Liberal

46%

45%

45%

46%

National

4%

4%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

31%

33%

33%

33%

Greens

11.8%

11%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

55%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

45%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Awareness of NDIS

Aug 6, 2012

Q. Have you heard or read a lot, a fair amount, just a little or almost nothing about the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS)?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

A lot

5%

7%

4%

A fair amount

17%

20%

17%

25%

A little

33%

30%

34%

39%

Almost nothing

40%

38%

41%

30%

Can’t say

6%

4%

4%

6%

22% have heard a lot or a fair amount about the National Disability Insurance Scheme, 33% have heard a little and 40% have heard almost nothing.

Those more likely to have heard a lot or a fair amount were aged 55+ (31%), Labor voters (27%) and men (25%).

Approval of Governments on NDIS

Aug 6, 2012

Q. In the recent negotiations over trial sites for the NDIS, do you approve or disapprove of the positions taken by the following Governments?

 

Total approve

Total disapprove

Strongly approve

Approve

Disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Don’t know

The Federal Government – which has committed the majority of the funds required but wants the states to contribute some funding as well.

59%

14%

20%

39%

10%

4%

27%

The State Governments which first signed up for the trials (SA & Tasmania)

56%

8%

17%

39%

6%

2%

36%

The State Governments which did not sign up at first but made a later funding offer (Victoria & NSW)

44%

21%

7%

37%

15%

6%

35%

The Queensland Government which has not yet signed up

16%

48%

5%

11%

22%

26%

36%

59% approved of the position taken by the Federal Government and 56% approved of the positions taken by the SA and Tasmanian Governments which first signed up for the trials.  44% approved and 21% disapproved of the positions taken by the NSW and Victorian Governments which made a later funding offer but only 16% approved and 48% disapproved of the Queensland Government which has not yet signed up.

18% of Queenslanders approved and 45% disapproved of the Queensland Government’s position.

Of those who had heard a lot/fair amount about the NDIS, 76% approved of the Federal Government’s position, 81% approved of the SA and Tasmanian Governments’ position. Their attitude to the NSW/Victorian Governments was 57% approve/35% disapprove and 28% approve/63% disapprove for the Queensland Government.

Party with Better Policies

Aug 6, 2012

Q. Which party do you think has the better policies for the following groups of people?

 

Labor Party

Liberal Party

No difference

Don’t know

Pensioners

32%

21%

30%

17%

Unemployed people

36%

18%

29%

17%

People with disabilities

32%

16%

30%

22%

Carers

30%

18%

30%

22%

People on low incomes

40%

18%

26%

16%

All working people

29%

30%

26%

15%

The Labor Party was thought to have better policies than the Liberal Party on all issues except “all working people” where both parties had similar ratings. In particular the Labor Party was thought to have better policies for people on low incomes (40% Labor/18% Liberal), unemployed people (36%/18%) and people with disabilities (32%/16%).

Of those aged 55+, 40% thought Labor had better policies for pensioners and 23% thought the Liberals had better policies.

30% think the Liberals have better policies for all working people and 29% think Labor has better policies. Full-time workers are more likely to think The Liberals have better policies (37% Liberal/24% Labor) which part-time workers are more likely to favour Labor (37% Labor/29% Liberal).

Interest in Olympic Games

Aug 6, 2012

Q. How much interest are you taking in the Olympic Games being held In London?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Men

Women

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

A lot of interest

22%

25%

24%

13%

22%

22%

27%

21%

17%

Some interest

36%

36%

39%

34%

34%

37%

34%

34%

40%

A little interest

27%

26%

28%

23%

28%

26%

24%

28%

31%

No interest

14%

13%

9%

30%

15%

14%

14%

16%

12%

Don’t know

1%

*

*

1%

2%

22% said they are taking lot of interest in the Olympic Games and 36% are taking some interest.

Those with highest interest were aged 18-34 (61% a lot/some) and incomes over $1,600pw (66%). Only 43% of those  with incomes under $600pw said they had  a lot/some interest.

Importance of Winning Gold Medals

Aug 6, 2012

Q. How important is it that Australia wins gold medals at the 2012 Olympics being held in London?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

A lot/some interest

A little/no interest

Very important

12%

12%

15%

7%

18%

4%

Quite important

32%

34%

35%

22%

41%

20%

Not so important

36%

37%

35%

33%

34%

41%

Not at all important

17%

16%

12%

37%

6%

32%

Don’t know

3%

1%

2%

1%

1%

4%

44% think it is very/quite important that Australia wins gold medals at the 2012 Olympics and 53% think it is not so or not at all important.

Of those with a lot/some interest in the Olympics, 59% think it is very/quite important and 40% not so/not at all important.

65% of those aged 55+ think it is not so/not at all important while 53% of those aged 18-34 think it is very/quite important.

Satisfaction with Performance of Australian Olympic Team

Aug 6, 2012

Q. How satisfied are you with the performance of the Australian Olympic team?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

A lot/some interest

A little/no interest

Very/quite important

Not so/not at all important

Total satisfied

41%

46%

40%

39%

53%

26%

43%

41%

Total dissatisfied

20%

15%

23%

17%

22%

16%

32%

9%

Very satisfied

11%

12%

8%

11%

14%

7%

10%

12%

Satisfied

30%

34%

32%

28%

39%

19%

33%

29%

Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied

33%

34%

33%

30%

25%

44%

23%

41%

Dissatisfied

14%

10%

17%

15%

15%

12%

23%

6%

Very dissatisfied

6%

5%

6%

2%

7%

4%

9%

3%

Don’t know

6%

4%

3%

13%

1%

12%

2%

8%

41% say they are satisfied with the performance of the Australian Olympic team and 20% are dissatisfied.

Of those who take a lot/some interest in the Olympics, 53% are satisfied and 22% dissatisfied.

Of those who think winning gold medals is very/quite important, 43% are satisfied and 32% dissatisfied with the performance of the Australian team.

Funding of Australia’s Olympic Team

Aug 6, 2012

Q. Direct Federal funding of Australia’s Olympic team over the past four years has been at least $589 million – which equates to about $39 million for each gold medal. Do you think this investment is too much, not enough or about right?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Very/quite important

Not so/not at all important

Too much

58%

60%

55%

71%

47%

68%

Not enough

9%

8%

11%

6%

14%

5%

About right

19%

21%

20%

14%

25%

14%

Don’t know

14%

11%

13%

9%

14%

13%

58% think that funding invested in the Australian Olympic team over the last 4 years has been too much, 9% think it is not enough and 19% think it is about right.

Of those who think winning gold medals is very/quite important, 47% think that funding has been too much, 14% think it is not enough and 25% think it is about right.