Approval of Julia Gillard

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 2010 20 Dec 2010 14 Mar

2011

14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb
Total approve 52% 43% 41% 34% 28% 34% 37% 34% 37% 36%
Total disapprove 30% 40% 46% 54% 64% 59% 55% 54% 52% 53%
Strongly approve 11% 10% 7% 6% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 6%
Approve 41% 33% 34% 28% 23% 27% 29% 28% 31% 30%
Disapprove 17% 24% 22% 29% 28% 27% 25% 25% 27% 26%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 24% 25% 36% 32% 30% 29% 25% 27%
Don’t know 18% 17% 13% 13% 8% 7% 9% 11% 12% 11%

Julia Gillard’s approval rating has remained much the same as last month. 36% (down 1%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 53% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -15 to -17 over the last 4 weeks.

79% of Labor voters approve (up 3%) and 14% disapprove (down 1%).

By gender – men 39% approve/53% disapprove, women 34% approve/52% disapprove.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

5 Jul

2010

20 Dec 2010 14 Mar

2011

14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb
Total approve 37% 37% 39% 38% 38% 39% 40% 36% 32% 35% 35%
Total disapprove 37% 47% 39% 47% 48% 50% 51% 52% 53% 51% 53%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 9% 7% 6% 8% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6%
Approve 32% 29% 30% 31% 32% 31% 32% 30% 26% 28% 29%
Disapprove 20% 23% 21% 24% 25% 23% 23% 26% 25% 25% 23%
Strongly disapprove 17% 24% 18% 23% 23% 27% 28% 26% 28% 26% 30%
Don’t know 26% 16% 22% 16% 15% 11% 9% 12% 14% 13% 12%

Tony Abbott’s approval rating has also changed little over the last month. 35% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 53% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -16 to -18 over the last 4 weeks.

67% (down 1%) of Coalition voters approve and 21% (no change) disapprove.

By gender – men 40% approve/52% disapprove, women 31% approve/54% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 14 Mar 14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 44% 41% 36% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 85% 5% 76%
Tony Abbott 26% 33% 36% 40% 39% 36% 35% 36% 34% 3% 73% 7%
Don’t know 21% 23% 24% 24% 23% 24% 26% 25% 25% 12% 22% 17%

41% (up 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (down 2%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +3% to +7% for Julia Gillard. This is Julia Gillard’s best result since May last year.

Men prefer Julia Gillard 42%/37% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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Leaders at the Next Election

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party at the election due next year?

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party at the election due next year?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard Yes 31% 54% 19% 43%
No 47% 22% 70% 26%
Don’t know 22% 24% 11% 31%
Tony Abbott Yes 47% 37% 67% 34%
No 25% 37% 12% 31%
Don’t know 28% 26% 21% 35%

31% think Julia Gillard will still be the leader of the Labor Party at the election due next year and 47% think she will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 54% of Labor voters think she will still be the leader.

47% think Tony Abbott will still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the election due next year and 25% think he will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 67% of Liberal/National voters think he will still be the leader.

Among non-major party voters, 36% think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party and 33% think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party.

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Impact of Gina Rinehart on Independence of Fairfax Newspapers

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Gina Rinehart (mining company owner and Australia’s wealthiest person) has recently bought a major stake in Fairfax newspapers (publishers of the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age). Do you think this will make Fairfax newspapers reporting of politics and business more balanced and independent, less balanced and independent or will It make no difference?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens NSW Victoria
More balanced and independent 7% 7% 8% 6% 11% 5%
Less balanced and independent 31% 35% 22% 62% 33% 31%
Make no difference 44% 36% 55% 23% 38% 46%
Don’t know 19% 22% 15% 9% 18% 18%

44% think that Gina Rinehart’s purchase of a major stake in Fairfax will make no difference to the balance and independence of the newspapers. 31% think this will make the newspapers less balanced and independent and only 7% think the newspapers will become more balanced and independent.

Greens voters (62%) and respondents aged under 35 (37%) were most likely to think the newspapers will become less balanced and independent and Liberal/National voters least likely (22%).

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Government Control of Media ownership

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you think the Government should have more or less control of media ownership in Australia?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens NSW Victoria
Should have more control 24% 29% 17% 38% 28% 22%
Should have less control 24% 17% 30% 30% 23% 29%
Has about the right control now 34% 38% 38% 18% 34% 34%
Don’t know 18% 16% 15% 14% 16% 16%

Respondents were evenly divided over whether the Government should have more or less control of media ownership in Australia. 24% think they should have more control and 24% think they should have less – and 34% think they have about the right control.

Greens voters (38%) and Labor voters (29%) are more likely to think the Government should have more control and 30% of Liberal/National voters think they should have less control.

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Australia – Fair and Just

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Compared to other advanced industrial countries would you say Australia is fairer and more just, about average, or less fair and just?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total more fair and just 46% 53% 47% 40%
A lot more fair and just 14% 18% 14% 7%
A little more fair and just 32% 35% 33% 33%
About average 38% 35% 39% 47%
A little less fair and just 8% 7% 7% 8%
A lot less fair and just 3% 2% 3% 3%
Don’t know 5% 3% 3% 1%

46% think that Australia is fairer and more just than other advanced industrial countries.

Labor voters (53%) are more likely to think Australia is more fair and just than Liberal/National voters (47%) or Greens voters (40%).

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Australia – Fair and Just Compared

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Would you say that Australia is more or less fair and just as a nation and society than the following countries?

More fair and just About the same Less fair and just Don’t know
China 66% 11% 11% 12%
The United States 47% 33% 10% 10%
Japan 41% 30% 12% 18%
France 34% 34% 13% 19%
The UK 26% 58% 7% 9%
Canada 12% 61% 13% 14%
New Zealand 12% 68% 11% 9%

66% think Australia is a more fair and just society than China and 47% think Australia is more fair than the United States.

More than half think Australia is about as fair and just as New Zealand (68%), Canada (61%) and the UK (58%).

Views about the United States are similar across most demographic groups except for those on higher incomes – 51% of those on incomes over $1,600 pw think Australia is more fair and just than the United States.

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