Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 14, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

 

4 weeks ago

17/12/13

(2 week average)

This week

14/1/14

Liberal

 

41%

42%

National

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

45%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

Greens

8.6%

7%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

6%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

17/12/13

This week

14/1/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

51%

Labor

46.5%

49%

49%

NB. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Approval of Tony Abbott

Jan 14, 2014

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/

indep-endent

Tony Abbott as Opposition Leader

2 Sep 13

Tony Abbott as Prime Minister

24 Sep

22 Oct

12 Nov

10 Dec

Total approve

47%

15%

87%

7%

31%

40%

41%

46%

45%

45%

Total disapprove

43%

75%

6%

88%

57%

49%

36%

35%

40%

46%

Strongly approve

13%

2%

27%

3%

13%

14%

16%

14%

12%

Approve

34%

13%

60%

7%

28%

27%

27%

30%

31%

33%

Disapprove

18%

26%

5%

25%

38%

19%

13%

15%

19%

20%

Strongly disapprove

25%

49%

1%

63%

19%

30%

23%

20%

21%

26%

Don’t know

11%

10%

7%

5%

13%

10%

23%

19%

16%

9%

47% (up 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister and 43% (down 3%) disapprove. This represents an improvement in his rating as Prime Minister over the last five weeks from net -1 to net +4.

By gender – 51% (up 1%) of men approve and 41% (down 2%) disapprove; 41% (no change) of women approve and 44% (down 5%) disapprove.

Approval of Bill Shorten

Jan 14, 2014

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/ Indep-endent

 

12 Nov

10 Dec

Total approve

35%

 

55%

23%

41%

28%

31%

39%

Total disapprove

32%

 

15%

50%

17%

45%

27%

31%

Strongly approve

5%

12%

1%

5%

2%

5%

7%

Approve

30%

43%

22%

36%

26%

26%

32%

Disapprove

20%

 12%

26%

15%

34%

17%

19%

Strongly disapprove

12%

3%

24%

2%

11%

10%

12%

Don’t know

32%

30%

27%

42%

28%

43%

31%

35% (down 4%) approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader and 32% (up 1%) disapprove. 32% could not give an opinion. This represents a decline in his rating as Opposition Leader over the last five weeks from net +8 to net +3.

By gender – 36% (down 4%) of men approve and 39% (up 4%) disapprove; 34% (down 2%) of women approve and 27% (no change) disapprove.

Fee for visiting a GP

Jan 14, 2014

Q. It has been proposed that the Federal Government introduce a $6 fee for each visit to a general practitioner. Would you approve or disapprove of charging a $6 fee to visit a doctor?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/

indep-endent

Total approve

28%

18%

43%

22%

22%

Total disapprove

64%

78%

49%

68%

69%

Strongly approve

7%

4%

13%

4%

5%

Approve

21%

14%

30%

18%

17%

Disapprove

23%

23%

24%

19%

18%

Strongly disapprove

41%

55%

25%

49%

51%

Don’t know

8%

5%

8%

10%

10%

28% approve of the proposal to introduce a $6 fee for visits to GP and 64% disapprove.

37% of those aged 55+ approve compared to 23% of those aged 18-34.

78% of those on low incomes (less than $600 pw) disapprove compared to 61% of those on higher incomes ($1,600+ pw)

Australia Day

Jan 14, 2014

Q. Sunday 26th January is Australia Day with the public holiday on the Monday. Will you personally be doing anything to celebrate Australia Day or do you treat it as just a public holiday?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/

indep-endent

 

18 Jan 10

29 Jan 13

Doing something to celebrate Australia Day

37%

34%

42%

25%

37%

40%

41%

Just a public holiday

44%

46%

43%

54%

41%

40%

43%

Working – don’t get the Australia Day holiday

7%

9%

6%

14%

8%

6%

7%

Don’t know

11%

12%

9%

7%

14%

14%

9%

37% said they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day, 44% treat Australia Day as just a public holiday and 7% are working because they don’t get the Australia Day holiday. This represents a small fall in the percentage of those celebrating Australia Day since last year.

18-34 year olds were more likely than those in other age groups to be doing something to celebrate Australia Day (45%). 53% of those with university education treat it as just another public holiday.

Date of Australia Day

Jan 14, 2014

Q. Australia Day is celebrated annually on 26th January, which is the anniversary of the 1788 arrival of the First Fleet of British ships at Sydney Cove, New South Wales.  Do you approve or disapprove of holding Australia’s national day on the 26th January?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/

indep-endent

Total approve

66%

63%

78%

37%

61%

Total disapprove

7%

6%

4%

27%

8%

Strongly approve

37%

34%

44%

18%

39%

Approve

29%

29%

34%

19%

22%

Neither approve nor disapprove

24%

28%

16%

27%

30%

Disapprove

5%

5%

3%

16%

4%

Strongly disapprove

2%

1%

1%

11%

4%

Don’t know

3%

2%

2%

8%

1%

66% approve of celebrating Australia day on 26th January and only 7% disapprove. 24% neither approve nor disapprove.

Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (27%) and those with incomes under $600 pw (13%).

Support for republic at end of Queen’s reign

Jan 14, 2014

Q. Would you support or oppose Australia becoming a republic at the end of the Queen’s reign?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/

indep-endent

 

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Total support

47%

58%

40%

56%

36%

44%

49%

47%

Total oppose

32%

25%

43%

22%

39%

28%

31%

42%

Strongly support

21%

30%

13%

30%

16%

17%

22%

23%

Support

26%

28%

27%

26%

20%

27%

27%

24%

Oppose

15%

13%

20%

12%

16%

12%

15%

20%

Strongly oppose

17%

12%

23%

10%

23%

16%

16%

22%

No opinion

20%

17%

16%

22%

25%

29%

20%

11%

47% support Australia becoming a republic at the end of the Queen’s reign and 32% oppose. 20% have no opinion on the question.

Those most supportive of becoming a republic were Labor voters (58%) Greens voters (56%), men (54%) and those with university education (58%).

By comparison, in response to the question “Are you in favour or against Australia becoming a republic?” polled in June 2012, 39% were in favour, 35% against and 27% had no opinion.