Approval of Julia Gillard

Oct 15, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

 

19 Jul 10

20 Dec

14 Mar
11

14 Jun

12 Sep

12 Dec

12 Mar 12

12 Jun

16
Jul

13 Aug

10 Sep

15 Oct

Total approve

52%

43%

41%

34%

28%

34%

32%

32%

32%

31%

35%

41%

Total disapprove

30%

40%

46%

54%

64%

54%

61%

56%

58%

57%

54%

51%

Strongly approve

11%

10%

7%

6%

5%

6%

8%

6%

5%

7%

7%

9%

Approve

41%

33%

34%

28%

23%

28%

24%

26%

27%

24%

28%

32%

Disapprove

17%

24%

22%

29%

28%

25%

29%

22%

26%

25%

27%

24%

Strongly disapprove

13%

16%

24%

25%

36%

29%

32%

34%

32%

32%

27%

27%

Don’t know

18%

17%

13%

13%

8%

11%

7%

12%

10%

13%

11%

8%

Julia Gillard’s approval rating has improved since last month. 41% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 51% (down 3%) disapprove – a 9 point change in net rating from -19 to -10. This is Julia Gillard’s best approval rating since May 2011.

87% of Labor voters approve (up 6%) and 9% disapprove (down 2%).

By gender – men 40% approve/54% disapprove, women 43% approve/47% disapprove.  In net terms this represents an improvement with men from -29 to -14 and with women from -7 to -4.

Approval of Tony Abbott

Oct 15, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

 

18 Jan
10

5 Jul

 

20 Dec

14 Mar
11

14 Jun

12 Sep

12 Dec

12 Mar 12

12 Jun

16 Jul

13 Aug

10 Sep

15 Oct

Total approve

37%

37%

39%

38%

38%

39%

32%

36%

32%

35%

36%

32%

37%

Total disapprove

37%

47%

39%

47%

48%

50%

53%

52%

54%

53%

51%

55%

54%

Strongly approve

5%

8%

9%

7%

6%

8%

6%

7%

6%

7%

8%

6%

9%

Approve

32%

29%

30%

31%

32%

31%

26%

29%

26%

28%

28%

26%

28%

Disapprove

20%

23%

21%

24%

25%

23%

25%

23%

24%

23%

22%

26%

23%

Strongly disapprove

17%

24%

18%

23%

23%

27%

28%

29%

30%

30%

29%

29%

31%

Don’t know

26%

16%

22%

16%

15%

11%

14%

12%

13%

12%

13%

13%

9%

Tony Abbott’s approval rating has also improved over the last month. 37% (up 5%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 54% (down 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -23 to -17 over the last 5 weeks.

74% (up 11%) of Coalition voters approve and 22% (down 2%) disapprove.

By gender – men 39% approve/55% disapprove, women 35% approve/54% disapprove. In net terms this represents an improvement with men from -19 to -16 and with women from -26 to -19.

Better Prime Minister

Oct 15, 2012

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

 

5 Jul 10

14 Mar 11

14 Jun

12 Sep

12 Dec

12 Mar 12

12 Jun

16 Jul

13 Aug

10 Sep

15 Oct

Vote
ALP

Vote Lib

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard

53%

44%

41%

36%

39%

40%

37%

37%

36%

40%

43%

89%

5%

77%

Tony Abbott

26%

33%

36%

40%

35%

37%

37%

38%

38%

37%

36%

2%

81%

2%

Don’t know

21%

23%

24%

24%

26%

23%

26%

26%

26%

24%

20%

9%

14%

21%

43% (up 3%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.

Men are evenly split (at 40% each) and women prefer Julia Gillard 47%/33%. Compared to last month’s figures, Julia Gillard’s margin over Tony Abbott has changed 8 points in her favour among men (from 36%/44%) but is unchanged among women (from 44%/30%).

Interest in US Presidential Election

Oct 15, 2012

Q. Thinking about United States politics, how much interest do you have in the US Presidential election?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

A lot of interest

11%

11%

11%

20%

Some interest

27%

34%

26%

28%

A little interest

34%

29%

39%

32%

No interest at all

27%

25%

23%

19%

Don’t know

2%

1%

1%

2%

38% have some or a lot of interest in the US Presidential election.

Those with highest interest were men (42% some/a lot), Labor voters (45%) and Greens voters (48%). There were no substantial differences across age groups.

Prefer as US President

Oct 15, 2012

Q. Who would you prefer to see win the upcoming Presidential election in the United States?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Barack Obama

63%

78%

53%

85%

Mitt Romney

9%

2%

18%

1%

No difference

17%

13%

17%

3%

Don’t know

11%

7%

13%

11%

63% said they would prefer to see Barack Obama win the US Presidential election, 9% favour Mitt Romney and 17% think there is no difference.

All demographic and voter groups strongly favour Barack Obama.

US Heading in Right/Wrong Direction

Oct 15, 2012

Q. Overall, do you think the United States is heading in the right direction/wrong direction? 

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Right direction

39%

46%

37%

45%

Wrong direction

23%

18%

29%

19%

Don’t know

38%

36%

34%

36%

39% think the US is heading in the right direction, 23% in the wrong direction and 38% don’t know.

46% of Labor voters and 45% of Greens voters think the US is heading in the right direction, while 29% of Liberal/National voters think it is heading in the wrong direction.

Australia and United States – How they compare

Oct 15, 2012

Q. How do you think Australia compares to the United States on the following: 

 

Total better in Australia

Total better in USA

A lot better in Australia

A little better in Australia

About the same

A little better in USA

A lot better in USA

Don’t know

Access to health care

82%

5%

61%

21%

8%

3%

2%

5%

Standard of living for ordinary working people

74%

7%

40%

34%

13%

5%

2%

6%

Access to jobs

70%

5%

34%

36%

17%

4%

1%

7%

Public safety

66%

4%

32%

34%

22%

3%

1%

7%

Wages

64%

9%

34%

30%

17%

7%

2%

10%

Work rights

63%

7%

34%

29%

18%

5%

2%

13%

Education standards

47%

16%

20%

27%

27%

12%

4%

10%

Rights of individuals

44%

14%

19%

25%

34%

10%

4%

8%

Opportunities to succeed in business

35%

22%

14%

21%

32%

16%

6%

12%

International influence

17%

56%

8%

9%

19%

21%

35%

9%

The vast majority of respondents think health care, standard of living, access to jobs, public safety, wages and work rights are better in Australia than in the US.

They are somewhat less certain about education standards, individual rights and opportunities to succeed in business – but still think these are better in Australia.

Only on international influence did respondents favour the US.

Position on Climate Change

Oct 15, 2012

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

30 May 11

14 Jun 11

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

53%

45%

52%

50%

48%

67%

30%

83%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

34%

36%

36%

39%

39%

24%

58%

10%

Don’t know

13%

19%

12%

12%

13%

9%

13%

8%

48% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 39% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is little changed since this question was previously asked in June last year.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 57%/27% and those aged 55+ split 37%/55%.

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