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  • Dec, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,960 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

     

    4 weeks ago

    19/11/13

    2 weeks ago

    3/12/13

    Last week

    10/12/13

    This week

    17/12/13

    Liberal

     

    41%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    Labor

    33.4%

    35%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    7%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    4%

    5%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    19/11/13

    2 weeks ago

    3/12/13

    Last week

    10/12/13

    This week

    17/12/13

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    53%

    52%

    51%

    51%

    Labor

    46.5%

    47%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Dec, 2013

    The last 12 months

    Q. Thinking about the last 12 months, has it been a good or bad year for each of the following?

     

    Total good

    Total

    bad

     

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

     

    Good 2012

    Bad 2012

    The Australian economy

    25%

    38%

    3%

    22%

    34%

    31%

    7%

    4%

    29%

    37%

    Australian politics in general

    8%

    70%

    1%

    7%

    18%

    35%

    35%

    4%

    9%

    61%

    Large companies and corporations

    25%

    34%

    4%

    21%

    33%

    25%

    9%

    7%

    32%

    31%

    Small business

    10%

    55%

    1%

    9%

    29%

    38%

    17%

    6%

    10%

    62%

    Trade unions

    11%

    36%

    2%

    9%

    39%

    24%

    12%

    14%

    18%

    30%

    The average Australian

    19%

    41%

    1%

    18%

    36%

    31%

    10%

    4%

    17%

    45%

    Your personal financial situation

    26%

    34%

    3%

    23%

    39%

    23%

    11%

    2%

    Your workplace *

    35%

    27%

    5%

    30%

    35%

    20%

    7%

    2%

    You and your family overall

    39%

    21%

    7%

    32%

    37%

    15%

    6%

    2%

    29%

    36%

    * working people

    70% think 2013 has been a bad year for Australian politics in general and 55% think it has been a bad year for small business.

    The only issues on which more think it has been a good year were “you and your family overall (39% good/21% bad) and “your workplace” (35%/27%).

    Compared to 2012, respondents were more likely to think 2013 had been a bad year for Australian politics (up 8%) and trade unions (up 6%).

    However, they were more likely to think 2013 had been a good year to “you and your family overall (up 10%).

  • Dec, 2013

    , , ,

    Next 12 months

    Q. Thinking about the next 12 months, do you think 2014 will be a good or bad year for each of the following?

     

    Total good

    Total

    bad

     

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    The Australian economy

    27%

    37%

    2%

    25%

    31%

    27%

    10%

    6%

    Australian politics in general

    21%

    45%

    2%

    19%

    29%

    25%

    20%

    6%

    Large companies and corporations

    30%

    30%

    4%

    26%

    32%

    22%

    8%

    8%

    Small business

    17%

    41%

    1%

    16%

    34%

    30%

    11%

    8%

    Trade unions

    11%

    37%

    2%

    9%

    38%

    24%

    13%

    14%

    The average Australian

    23%

    34%

    1%

    22%

    38%

    26%

    8%

    5%

    Your personal financial situation

    31%

    25%

    3%

    28%

    39%

    18%

    7%

    4%

    Your workplace*

    36%

    21%

    4%

    32%

    39%

    16%

    5%

    3%

    You and your family overall

    41%

    16%

    7%

    34%

    38%

    11%

    5%

    5%

    * working people

    Respondents are more likely to be positive about 2014 for “you and your family” (41% good/16% bad), “your workplace” (36%/21%) and “your personal financial situation” (31%/25%).

    Compared to their opinions of 2013, they expect improvements for “Australian politics in general” (up 11% to 21% good), “large companies and corporations” (up 5% to 30%) and “small business” (up 7% to 17%) – although all of these are off low base figures.

  • Dec, 2013

    , , ,

    Qantas

    Q. Which of the following actions should the Federal Government take to help Qantas remain a competitive airline?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Nationalise Qantas, i.e. the Government has full ownership and control

    26%

    27%

    24%

    24%

    37%

    Buy shares in Qantas

    24%

    26%

    22%

    17%

    35%

    Allow increased foreign ownership of Qantas

    20%

    19%

    26%

    12%

    14%

    Provide direct funding and subsidies

    20%

    29%

    14%

    10%

    23%

    None of them

    13%

    8%

    16%

    23%

    10%

    Don’t know

    22%

    21%

    19%

    36%

    12%

    The most preferred options for the Government to help Qantas remain a competitive airline involve some form of Government ownership. 26% support nationalising Qantas and 24% think the Government should buy shares in Qantas. 20% support allowing increased foreign ownership and 20% providing direct funding and subsidies.

    Labor voters are a little more likely to support direct funding and subsidies (29%) while Liberal/National voters are more likely to support increased foreign ownership (26%).

  • Dec, 2013

    ,

    Importance of car manufacturing

    Q. How important is it that Australia has a car manufacturing industry, even if it needs hundreds of millions of dollars each year in Government support and investment?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    1 Oct

    2013

    Total important

    60%

     

    74%

    50%

    48%

    70%

    58%

    Total not important

    33%

     

    21%

    46%

    48%

    25%

    30%

    Very important

    30%

     

    39%

    26%

    21%

    32%

    24%

    Somewhat important

    30%

    35%

    24%

    27%

    38%

    34%

    Not very important

    20%

    15%

    24%

    23%

    18%

    18%

    Not at all important

    13%

    6%

    22%

    24%

    7%

    12%

    Don’t know

    6%

    6%

    5%

    6%

    5%

    12%

    60% think it is important that Australia has a car manufacturing industry, even if it needs hundreds of millions of dollars each year in Government support and investment while 33% think it is not important. This is s light increase in both measures since October as those saying “don’t know” has declined from 12% to 6%.

    Labor voters are most likely to think a car manufacturing industry is important (70%) while Liberal/National voters are split (50% important/46% not important).

  • Dec, 2013

    , , ,

    Subsidies to Holden

    Q. Would you approve or disapprove of the Government increasing subsidies to Holden to keep them in Australia?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Total approve

    45%

     

    60%

    35%

    30%

    41%

    Total disapprove

    42%

     

    26%

    57%

    59%

    46%

    Strongly approve

    15%

     

    21%

    11%

    8%

    15%

    Approve

    30%

    39%

    24%

    22%

    26%

    Disapprove

    25%

    16%

    30%

    38%

    35%

    Strongly disapprove

    17%

    10%

    27%

    21%

    11%

    Don’t know

    12%

    14%

    8%

    12%

    14%

    45% would approve of increasing subsidies to Holden to keep them in Australia while 42% disapprove.

    A majority of Labor voters approve (60%) and a majority of Liberal/National voters disapprove (57%).

  • Dec, 2013

    , , , , ,

    Support for Toyota

    Q. When Holden closes, Toyota will be the only company manufacturing cars in Australia. Do you think the Government should increase financial support for Toyota, decrease support or leave it the same?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Increase support

    31%

     

    44%

    21%

    16%

    37%

    Decrease support

    11%

     

    7%

    15%

    13%

    8%

    Leave it the same

    44%

     

    32%

    52%

    54%

    49%

    Don’t know

    14%

    17%

    11%

    17%

    7%

    31% think the Government should increase financial support to Toyota and 44% think they should leave it the same. Only 11% were in favour of decreasing the support for Toyota.

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