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  • Nov, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,925 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    22/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    7/11/12

    Last week

    12/11/12

    This week

    19/11/12

    Liberal

    44%

    43%

    42%

    43%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    46%

    45%

    46%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    52%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Nov, 2012

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    Important election issues

    Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

     

    First

    Second

    Third

    Total

    19 Nov 12

    Total

    30 Jul 12

    5 Dec 11

    6 June 11

    25 Jan 10

    Management of the economy

    47%

    11%

    9%

    66%

    64%

    62%

    61%

    63%

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    7%

    16%

    11%

    35%

    26%

    22%

    26%

    23%

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    15%

    22%

    20%

    57%

    47%

    47%

    49%

    48%

    Protecting the environment

    3%

    6%

    5%

    14%

    11%

    13%

    15%

    16%

    A fair industrial relations system

    2%

    3%

    3%

    8%

    12%

    11%

    8%

    na

    Political leadership

    6%

    5%

    4%

    15%

    25%

    18%

    17%

    23%

    Addressing climate change

    2%

    2%

    5%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    15%

    16%

    Controlling interest rates

    2%

    5%

    4%

    11%

    9%

    11%

    13%

    15%

    Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    8%

    11%

    13%

    32%

    41%

    36%

    32%

    33%

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    1%

    2%

    2%

    5%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    12%

    Housing affordability

    3%

    6%

    5%

    14%

    13%

    13%

    16%

    14%

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    2%

    5%

    9%

    17%

    18%

    16%

    17%

    14%

    Security and the war on terrorism

    *

    1%

    3%

    5%

    5%

    4%

    8%

    9%

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    1%

    1%

    3%

    6%

    10%

    8%

    5%

    na

    Managing population growth

    1%

    2%

    4%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    12%

    na

    *Not asked

    66% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 57% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 35% ensuring a quality education for all children and 32% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

    Since July, there has been an increase in the importance of ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (+10%) and ensuring a quality education for all children (+9%) and a decline in the importance of political leadership (-10%) and Australian jobs and protection of local industries (-9%).

  • Nov, 2012

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    Party trust to handle important election issues

    Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

     

    ALP

    Libs

    Greens

    Don’t know

    Difference
    19
    Nov 12

    Difference
    18
    Jun 12

    Management of the economy

    31%

    45%

    2%

    22%

    -14

    -18

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    38%

    33%

    4%

    24%

    +5

    -2

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    32%

    35%

    7%

    25%

    -3

    -6

    Protecting the environment

    19%

    22%

    38%

    21%

    +16

    +17

    A fair industrial relations system

    41%

    32%

    4%

    23%

    +9

    +6

    Political leadership

    26%

    38%

    6%

    30%

    -12

    -16

    Addressing climate change

    22%

    23%

    32%

    24%

    +9

    +7

    Controlling interest rates

    28%

    39%

    3%

    30%

    -11

    -18

    Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    34%

    36%

    4%

    27%

    -2

    -6

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    21%

    28%

    23%

    27%

    -7

    -12

    Housing affordability

    28%

    33%

    5%

    33%

    -5

    -11

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    30%

    39%

    4%

    27%

    -9

    -10

    Security and the war on terrorism

    25%

    40%

    4%

    31%

    -15

    -22

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    20%

    38%

    13%

    29%

    -18

    -20

    Managing population growth

    22%

    37%

    6%

    35%

    -15

    -19

    Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

    Labor leads the Liberal Party on ensuring a quality education for all children and a fair industrial relations system. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership, security and the war on terrorism, treatment of asylum seekers and managing population growth.

    There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals on ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Since June, there has been a shift in Labor’s favour on most issues – especially, ensuring a quality education for all children, controlling interest rates, housing affordability and security and the war on terrorism.

  • Nov, 2012

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    Export of live animals

    Q. Thinking about the export of live animals for slaughter, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Australia should not export live sheep and cattle to any country at all

    25%

    25%

    24%

    35%

    Australia should only export live sheep and cattle to countries which guarantee they will be treated humanely

    54%

    53%

    55%

    58%

    Australia should export live sheep and cattle to any country that wants them

    15%

    15%

    19%

    5%

    Don’t know

    6%

    7%

    3%

    1%

    54% think that Australia should only export live sheep and cattle to countries which guarantee they will be treated humanely and 25% think Australia should not export live sheep and cattle to any country at all.

    Those most opposed to exporting live sheep and cattle to any country at all were Greens voters (35%),  women (29%) and respondents aged 45-64 (30%).

  • Nov, 2012

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    Treatment of animals

    Q. Which of the following statements comes closest to your view about the treatment of animals?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Animals deserve the same rights as people to be free from harm and exploitation

    30%

    30%

    28%

    40%

    Animals deserve some protection from harm and exploitation, but it is still appropriate to use them for the benefit of humans

    61%

    61%

    66%

    55%

    Animals don’t need much protection from harm and exploitation since they are just animals

    4%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    Don’t know

    5%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    61% think animals deserve some protection from harm and exploitation, but it is still appropriate to use them for the benefit of humans and 30% think animals deserve the same rights as people to be free from harm and exploitation. Only 4% think animals don’t need much protection from harm and exploitation since they are just animals.

    Those most likely to think animals deserve the same rights as people to be free from harm and exploitation were Greens voters (40%) and women (38%).

  • Nov, 2012

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    Important outcomes from Royal Commission

    Q. What are the most important things that should come out of the Royal Commission? (select up to 3)

     

    Total

    Vote ALP

    Vote Libs

    Vote Greens

    Cath-
    olic

    Ang-
    lican

    Other Protest-
    ant

    Other relig-
    ion

    No relig-
    ion

    Preventing future child sexual abuse

    63%

    63%

    63%

    74%

    65%

    59%

    62%

    57%

    65%

    Prosecution of offenders

    60%

    55%

    67%

    48%

    58%

    67%

    68%

    53%

    59%

    Removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur

    39%

    39%

    35%

    58%

    27%

    42%

    33%

    37%

    48%

    Giving victims the opportunity to tell their story

    27%

    31%

    24%

    28%

    28%

    28%

    30%

    27%

    25%

    Exposing previously unreported or unresolved allegations

    27%

    26%

    30%

    24%

    28%

    23%

    27%

    26%

    29%

    Exposing institutional cover-ups

    24%

    23%

    23%

    32%

    22%

    23%

    27%

    18%

    26%

    Compensation for victims

    16%

    18%

    12%

    15%

    19%

    19%

    13%

    18%

    13%

    Restoring public confidence in institutions

    11%

    13%

    13%

    4%

    16%

    13%

    15%

    11%

    6%

    Establishing a public record of fact regarding child sexual abuse in institutions

    9%

    10%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    9%

    7%

    10%

    9%

    Don’t know

    4%

    3%

    4%

    1%

    5%

    2%

    3%

    7%

    4%

    Prefer not to answer

    1%

    *

    *

    1%

    1%

    1%

    Respondents think that the most important things that should come out of the Royal Commission are preventing future child abuse (63%) and prosecution of offenders (60%). 39% think that removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur is also important.

    These were clearly the top three issues for all groups except Catholics who placed somewhat less importance on removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur (27%). Greens voters considered removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur (58%) to be more important than prosecution of offenders (48%). Liberal/National voters thought the most important outcome should be prosecution of offenders (67%). Women were a little more likely to nominate preventing future child abuse (69%) and removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur (43%).

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