2012 Outlook – Economy and Family

Dec 19, 2011

Q. Thinking about the next 12 months, do you think 2012 will be a good or bad year for each of the following?

Total good

Dec 10

Total bad

Dec10

Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know/Not applicable
The Australian economy 48% 16% 29% 35% 3% 26% 32% 28% 7% 3%
Your personal financial situation 39% 20% 33% 27% 4% 29% 38% 20% 7% 2%
Your workplace * 47% 16% 45% 20% 6% 39% 36% 15% 5% 2%
You and your family overall 51% 14% 52% 16% 10% 42% 30% 12% 4% 2%

* based on working people

Overall, respondents were optimistic that 2012 would be a good year for themselves overall (52%) and their workplace (45%). They tended to be less optimistic about their financial situation (33% good/27% bad) and somewhat pessimistic about the Australian economy (29%/35%).

Compared to expectations 12 months ago, respondents were much less optimistic about the Australian economy (48% good last year compared to 29% good this year) and also rather less optimistic about their own financial situation (39%/20% last year compared to 33%/27% this year).

When compared with last week’s questions on perceptions of 2011, these figures suggest that respondents expect 2012 to be better than 2011 for themselves and their family (net +36% for next year compared to net +24% for this year), a little better for their workplace (+25% next year, +20% last year) and their own financial situation (+6% next year, -2% this year). The Australian economy is expected to be a little worse in 2012 (-6% next year compared to +2% last year).

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2012 Outlook – Political Parties

Dec 19, 2011

Q. Do you think 2012 will be a good or bad year for each of the following political parties?

Total good

Dec 10

Total bad

Dec10

Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
The Liberal Party 35% 18% 36% 24% 8% 28% 28% 17% 7% 12%
The Labor Party 19% 40% 16% 49% 3% 13% 23% 29% 20% 11%
The Greens 22% 29% 17% 37% 2% 15% 32% 20% 17% 13%

Respondents expect that 2012 is likely to be a relatively good year for the Liberal Party (36% good/24% bad) and a bad year for the Labor Party (16%/49%) and the Greens (17%/37%).

Among their own voters, 67% expect the Liberals to have a good year, 38% expect Labor to have a good year and 67% expect the Greens to have a good year.

Compared to expectations 12 months ago, respondents were somewhat less positive about all political parties – The Liberal Party has dropped form net +17% to net +12%, the Labor Party from -21% to -33% and the Greens from -7% to -20%.

Comparing these results with last week’s questions about 2011, respondents expect the Liberal Party to have a better year (net +12% next year this year compared to net -3% this year), the Labor Party to have a similar year (-33% next year, -37% this year) and the Greens to have a much worse year (-20% next year, +4% this year).

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2012 Outlook – Politicians

Dec 19, 2011

Q. Do you think 2012 will be a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

Total good

Dec 10

Total bad

Dec10

Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
Julia Gillard 28% 36% 19% 56% 4% 15% 17% 29% 27% 9%
Tony Abbott 29% 27% 24% 38% 6% 18% 29% 24% 14% 10%
Kevin Rudd 21% 30% 30% 25% 5% 25% 35% 17% 8% 10%
Malcolm Turnbull 20% 21% 22% 22% 3% 19% 42% 17% 5% 14%
Bob Brown 20% 30% 16% 39% 2% 14% 31% 20% 19% 14%

Overall, there were negative expectations for the three party leaders – Julia Gillard (-37% net), Tony Abbott (-14%) and Bob Brown (-23%) while respondents were more evenly divided over Kevin Rudd (+5%) and Malcolm Turnbull (-).

45% of Labor voters expect Julia Gillard to have a good year and 47% of Liberal/National voters expect Tony Abbott to have a good year.

Compared to expectations 12 months ago, respondents were somewhat less positive about all party leaders – Julia Gillard has dropped form net -8% to net -37%, Tony Abbott from +2% to -14% and Bob Brown from -10% to -23%.

Comparing these results with last week’s questions, respondents expect 2012 to be similar 2011 for Julia Gillard (net -37% next year compared to -36% this year) and Tony Abbott (-14% next year, -17% this year). However, Bob Brown is expected to have a worse year in 2012 (net -23%) than this year (+5%).

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