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  • Jul, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,854 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    25/6/12

    2 weeks ago

    9/7/12

    Last week

    16/7/12

    This week

    23/7/12

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    National

    3%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    31%

    31%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • Jul, 2012

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    Liberal Party and WorkChoices

    Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?

     

    31 May 10

    12 July 10

    21 Nov 11

    Total

    23 Jul 12

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Work full time

    Work part time

    Total likely

    58%

    56%

    51%

    53%

    78%

    40%

    55%

    53%

    53%

    Total unlikely

    21%

    24%

    27%

    22%

    11%

    34%

    14%

    24%

    15%

    Very likely

    28%

    26%

    22%

    26%

    52%

    9%

    38%

    27%

    23%

    Quite likely

    30%

    30%

    29%

    27%

    26%

    31%

    17%

    26%

    30%

    Not very likely

    18%

    18%

    19%

    16%

    6%

    26%

    13%

    18%

    11%

    Not at all likely

    3%

    6%

    8%

    6%

    5%

    8%

    1%

    6%

    4%

    Don’t know

    20%

    20%

    22%

    26%

    11%

    26%

    30%

    23%

    32%

    Respondents were a little more likely to think that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices than when a similar question was asked last year. 53% (up 2%) think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election and 22% (down 5%) think it is unlikely.

    78% of Labor voters and 55% of Greens voters think it is likely, while Liberal/National voters are split 40% likely (up 7%) to 34% unlikely (down 10%).

  • Jul, 2012

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    Concern about Liberals Bringing Back WorkChoices

    Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?  

     

    31 May 10

    12 July 10

    21 Nov 11

    Total

    23 Jul 12

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Work full time

    Work part time

    Very concerned

    28%

    29%

    26%

    30%

    60%

    7%

    39%

    33%

    28%

    Quite concerned

    17%

    19%

    15%

    16%

    16%

    14%

    17%

    16%

    21%

    A little concerned

    20%

    16%

    20%

    15%

    11%

    18%

    20%

    14%

    17%

    Not concerned

    24%

    25%

    27%

    26%

    7%

    48%

    5%

    28%

    19%

    Don’t know

    11%

    11%

    11%

    14%

    6%

    12%

    20%

    11%

    15%

    Respondents were also more concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than last year. 46% (up 5%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 41% (down 6%) were only a little or not concerned.

    76% of Labor voters and 56% of Greens voters would be concerned. 66% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 21% concerned.  49% of full-time workers and part-time workers said they would be very/quite concerned.

    51% of those aged 45-64 said they would be very/quite concerned.

  • Jul, 2012

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    Australian Workers under a Liberal Government

    Q. Do you think Australian workers would be better off or worse off under a Liberal Government lead by Tony Abbott?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Work full time

    Work part time

    Total better off

    32%

    8%

    65%

    8%

    35%

    27%

    Total worse off

    37%

    75%

    4%

    65%

    34%

    40%

    A lot better off

    15%

    3%

    33%

    17%

    12%

    A little better off

    17%

    5%

    32%

    8%

    18%

    15%

    Make no difference

    19%

    12%

    22%

    15%

    21%

    20%

    A little worse off

    9%

    12%

    3%

    17%

    10%

    11%

    A lot worse off

    28%

    63%

    1%

    48%

    24%

    29%

    Don’t know

    11%

    5%

    8%

    12%

    9%

    12%

    32% think that Australian workers would be better off under a Liberal Government lead by Tony Abbott and 37% think they would be worse off – and 19% think it would make no difference.

    Full-time workers split 35% better off and 34% worse off while part-time workers were more likely to think workers would be worse off (40% worse off/27% better off).

    43% of respondents aged 45-64 think workers would be worse off and 31% better off. 40% of those earning under $1,000 pw thought workers would be worse off and 33% better off.

  • Jul, 2012

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    Surveillance and Intelligence-gathering

    Q. The Government has recently proposed a number of amendments to the laws governing surveillance and intelligence-gathering. Do you support or oppose the following suggestions?

     

    Total support

    Total oppose

    Strongly support

    Support

    Oppose

    Strongly oppose

    Don’t know

    Extend the power of government agencies to intercept communications from major to lesser offences

    40%

    37%

    9%

    31%

    21%

    16%

    24%

    Enable government agencies to intercept messages on social media sites like Twitter and Facebook

    40%

    46%

    10%

    30%

    26%

    20%

    14%

    Require internet service providers to keep a record of every customers’ internet usage for 2 years

    28%

    57%

    7%

    21%

    26%

    31%

    14%

    Making it an offence not to assist government agencies with decryption e.g. reveal your password

    26%

    60%

    8%

    18%

    28%

    32%

    15%

    Allowing ASIO agents to plant or destroy material on computers if they have a warrant

    27%

    52%

    7%

    20%

    23%

    29%

    20%

    A majority of respondents were opposed to making it an offence not to assist government agencies with decryption e.g. reveal your password (60%), requiring internet service providers to keep a record of every customers’ internet usage for 2 years (57%) and allowing ASIO agents to plant or destroy material on computers if they have a warrant (52%).

    They were more evenly divided over enabling government agencies to intercept messages on social media sites like Twitter and Facebook (40% support/46% oppose) and extending the power of government agencies to intercept communications from major to lesser offences (40% support/37% oppose).

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