Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 25, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

29/1/13

2 weeks ago

11/2/13

Last week

18/2/13

This week

25/2/13

Liberal

44%

45%

44%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

47%

49%

Labor

38.0%

35%

34%

35%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

9%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

55%

54%

56%

Labor

50.1%

46%

45%

46%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Trust in information

Feb 25, 2013

Q. How much trust do you have in the following for information on major public issues like immigration, climate change or the economy?

 

A lot of trust

Some trust

Not much trust

No trust at all

Don’t know

Don’t use

What I see on TV news and current affairs

5%

50%

30%

11%

3%

1%

What I hear on radio news and current affairs

5%

51%

30%

8%

3%

4%

What I hear on radio talkback

5%

35%

31%

17%

3%

9%

What I read in newspapers or online news sites

5%

51%

32%

8%

2%

2%

What politicians say

1%

12%

39%

43%

3%

2%

What I see online on blogs and social media

2%

20%

39%

22%

5%

11%

What I hear from friends and family

10%

53%

26%

6%

5%

1%

What I hear in my workplace

3%

37%

34%

10%

4%

11%

What I learn from my own research

35%

50%

6%

2%

2%

4%

 

 

Total

lot/some of trust

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

What I see on TV news and current affairs

55%

54%

59%

40%

What I hear on radio news and current affairs

56%

53%

61%

34%

What I hear on radio talkback

40%

34%

46%

26%

What I read in newspapers or online news sites

56%

59%

58%

48%

What politicians say

13%

21%

8%

14%

What I see online on blogs and social media

22%

23%

23%

24%

What I hear from friends and family

63%

58%

66%

63%

What I hear in my workplace

40%

39%

43%

42%

What I learn from my own research

85%

86%

86%

83%

85% have a lot or some trust in what they learn from their own research, 63% in what they hear from friends and family, 56% in newspapers and radio and 55% in TV news and current affairs. Only 13% have a lot or some trust in what they hear from politicians and 22% have a lot/some trust in blogs and social media.

Labor voters tend to have a little more trust in newspapers while Liberal/National voters have a little more trust in radio and TV news and current affairs. Liberal/National voters also have above-average trust in radio talkback.

Expectations of a Liberal/National Government

Feb 25, 2013

Q. If the Labor Party lost the next election, do you think the following would be better or worse under a Liberal/National Government led by Tony Abbott?

 

A lot better

A little better

Stay much the same

A little worse

A lot worse

Don’t use

NET (Better-Worse)

Political leadership

16%

19%

27%

10%

24%

4%

+1

Trust in Government

13%

19%

29%

12%

22%

4%

-2

Unemployment

7%

18%

39%

13%

19%

5%

-7

The economy overall

16%

22%

31%

12%

16%

4%

+10

The cost of living

6%

19%

36%

14%

21%

4%

-10

Interest rates

5%

13%

48%

14%

16%

5%

-12

Health services

6%

19%

36%

16%

20%

4%

-11

Job security

7%

17%

36%

14%

22%

4%

-12

Workers rights and conditions

5%

13%

37%

15%

25%

5%

-22

Company profits

13%

28%

37%

6%

10%

6%

+25

The environment

5%

13%

47%

11%

21%

4%

-14

Job creation

8%

20%

39%

13%

16%

4%

-1

Public services

6%

15%

42%

13%

20%

4%

-12

Benefits for people on Government support – such as pensioners and the unemployed

5%

13%

39%

16%

23%

5%

-21

Your personal financial situation

6%

16%

42%

15%

16%

4%

-9

Under a Liberal Government, respondents though that the economy overall (+10) and company profits (+25) would be better.

However they were more likely to think that workers rights and conditions (-22), benefits for people on Government support  (-21), the environment (-14), interest rates (-12), job security (-12), public services, health services (-11) and the cost of living (-10) would all be worse. 22% think their own financial situation will be better, 31% think it will be worse and 42% much the same.

Government deserves to be re-elected

Feb 25, 2013

Q. As of now, do you think the current Federal Labor Government of Julia Gillard deserves to be re-elected?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Yes, deserves to be re-elected

26%

66%

4%

31%

No, does not deserve to be re-elected

57%

17%

88%

38%

Don’t know

17%

17%

8%

31%

26% think that the Labor Government deserves to be re-elected and 57% think they do not. 66% of Labor voters think they deserve to be re-elected.

64% of men and 50% of women think they don’t deserve to be re-elected.

Liberals ready to govern

Feb 25, 2013

Q. Do you think the Liberal Party led by Tony Abbott has shown it has the policies and leadership to be ready to govern?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Liberals are ready to govern

36%

6%

72%

4%

Liberals are not ready to govern

45%

82%

12%

79%

Don’t know

19%

13%

16%

17%

36% think that the Liberal Party has the policies and leadership to be ready to govern and 45% think they do not. 72% of Liberal/National voters think they are ready to govern.

41% of men and 32% of women think they are ready to govern.

Flexible work hours

Feb 25, 2013

Q. The Federal Government has announced measures to increase access to flexible work hours for parents and carers. Which statement is closer to your view? 

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Workers should have the right to request flexible hours if their employer can accommodate it

66%

65%

66%

74%

Employers should be required to accommodate workers’ caring responsibilities

13%

18%

9%

19%

It’s not up to employers to consider workers’ personal responsibilities

14%

10%

20%

6%

Don’t know

7%

7%

4%

1%

66% think that workers should have the right to request flexible hours if their employer can accommodate it and 13% think employers should be required to accommodate workers’ caring responsibilities. There were few major differences across demographics. Those working full-time or part-time gave similar answers to those not working.

Support for industry package

Feb 25, 2013

Q. The Federal Government has announced a $1 billion package to support Australian jobs in blue-collar industries like manufacturing. Do you support this plan? 

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Support

48%

69%

39%

45%

Oppose

10%

1%

17%

10%

Haven’t heard of it

34%

24%

34%

40%

Don’t know

9%

6%

10%

5%

48% support the Government’s $1 billion package to support Australian jobs in blue-collar industries like manufacturing and 10% oppose. 34% said they hadn’t heard of it.

Strongest support was shown by Labor voters (69%), aged 35-44 (57%) and those earning $1,000-$1,600pw (56%).

Supplying mining projects

Feb 25, 2013

Q. This package requires major mining projects to give local firms the opportunity to tender for work, like supplying equipment. Which is closer to your view? 

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Local Australian companies should be given the opportunity to tender for work on big mining companies

48%

49%

52%

51%

Big mining companies should be forced to buy products from Australian businesses, to support local jobs

34%

39%

29%

36%

Mining companies operating in Australia should be free to pursue the cheapest option, including sourcing equipment from overseas

6%

4%

10%

3%

Don’t know

11%

9%

8%

11%

48% think that Australian companies should be given the opportunity to tender for work on big mining companies and 34% think big mining companies should be forced to buy products from Australian businesses. Only 6% think mining companies operating in Australia should be free to pursue the cheapest option, including sourcing equipment from overseas.

Strongest support for forcing mining companies to buy products from Australian businesses came from Labor voters (39%), aged 25-34 (42%) and those earning $1,000-$1,600pw (39%).

Pages:12»