Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 28, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,933 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week

21/1/14

This week

28/1/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

Labor

33.4%

37%

36%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week

21/1/14

This week

28/1/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

50%

Labor

46.5%

49%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Changes to mail delivery

Jan 28, 2014

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of changing the mail delivery service from each weekday to 3 days a week?

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total approve

29%

29%

35%

26%

20%

Total disapprove

63%

66%

57%

64%

69%

Strongly approve

4%

6%

4%

5%

1%

Approve

25%

23%

31%

21%

19%

Disapprove

23%

23%

22%

23%

27%

Strongly disapprove

40%

43%

35%

41%

42%

Don’t know

8%

5%

7%

11%

11%

29% approve of changing the mail delivery service to 3 days a week and 63% oppose.

There were no voter or demographic groups where disapproval was less than 50%.

Opinion of privatisation

Jan 28, 2014

Q. Generally, do you think that privatisation – that is, having public services owned or run by private companies – is a good or bad idea?

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

March 13

A good idea

21%

16%

31%

7%

12%

22%

A bad idea

59%

69%

48%

74%

65%

58%

Don’t know

20%

15%

21%

19%

23%

20%

59% think that, generally, privatisation is a bad idea and 21% think it is generally a good idea.

Those most likely to think it is a bad idea were – aged 45-64 (75%), Greens voters (74%), Labor voters (69%) and incomes under $600pw (68%).

Strongest support for privatisation came from Liberal/National voters (31%), aged 18-34 (30%) and those with university education (29%).

There has been no significant change on this issue since this question was asked in March last year.

Support for privatisation

Jan 28, 2014

Q. Would you support or oppose privatisation of the following Government-owned corporations?

 

 

Total support

Total

oppose

 

Strongly support

Support

Oppose

Strongly oppose

Don’t know

Medibank Private

29%

54%

5%

24%

26%

28%

18%

Australia Post

20%

69%

4%

16%

26%

43%

11%

The ABC and SBS

21%

64%

5%

16%

25%

39%

14%

The National Broadband Network

28%

58%

7%

21%

24%

34%

14%

Snowy Hydro

17%

53%

3%

14%

23%

30%

30%

Australian Rail Track Corporation (which runs much of the interstate train network)

23%

58%

5%

18%

25%

33%

19%

There was majority opposition to privatising each of the Government-owned corporations listed.

Privatisation of Australia Post (69%) and ABC/SBS (64%) were most strongly opposed.

While support for privatisation of these corporations was higher among Liberal/National voter, they were still more likely to oppose than support. Apart from Medibank Private (40% support/46% oppose) and the NBN (42%/46%), a majority of Liberal/National voters opposed privatisation of each corporation.

Welfare payments

Jan 28, 2014

Q. Overall, do you think the Federal Government spends too much, not enough or about the right amount on welfare payments – such as age pensions, disability support pensions, unemployment benefits, parenting payments?

 

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Too much

24%

12%

36%

18%

25%

Not enough

41%

56%

27%

47%

40%

About right

27%

27%

29%

29%

27%

Don’t know

9%

5%

9%

7%

8%

41% think the Government does not spend enough on welfare payments, 27% think spending is about right and 24% think it spends too much.

Those most likely to think it spends too much were Liberal/National voters (36%), full-time workers (33%) and those on income over $1,600pw (34%).

Those most likely to think it doesn’t spend enough were Labor voters (56%) and those on incomes under $600pw (64%).

Pension and benefit payments

Jan 28, 2014

Q. Do you think the following pensions and benefits are too high, too low or about right?

Too high

Too low

About right

Don’t know

 

 

Too high

Too low

About right

Don’t know

Age pension

2%

64%

25%

8%

Age pension ($827 a fortnight for a single person)

5%

52%

35%

8%

Disability support pension

8%

47%

31%

14%

Disability support pension ($813 a fortnight)

8%

47%

35%

10%

Unemployment benefit

27%

27%

35%

11%

Unemployment benefit ($501 a fortnight for a single person without children)

25%

35%

31%

9%

Parenting payment

31%

23%

32%

14%

Parenting payment ($700 a fortnight for a single parent)

26%

34%

29%

10%

Note: Half the sample was asked this question without specifying the payment amounts and half was asked with the payment amounts specified.

For half the sample that were not told the specific payment amount, 64% thought the age pension was too low and 47% thought the disability support pension was too low. Opinions on unemployment benefits and parenting payments were split – on unemployment benefits the most common response was “about right” (35%) and about right (32%) or too high (31%) for parenting payments.

The half that were told the payments amounts were less likely to think the age pension was too low (52%), had similar perceptions of the disability support pension and were more likely to think unemployment benefits (35%) and parenting payments (34%) were too low.

For the age pension while 58% of those aged 65+ thought it was too low, 76% of those aged 45-64 thought it was too low.

Eligibility for pensions and benefit payments

Jan 28, 2014

Q. Would you support or oppose making eligibility tougher for the following benefits and pensions?

 

 

Total support

Total
oppose

 

Strongly support

Support

Oppose

Strongly oppose

Don’t know

Age pension

17%

75%

5%

12%

40%

35%

8%

Disability support pension

37%

55%

11%

26%

33%

22%

9%

Unemployment benefit

65%

28%

31%

34%

19%

9%

7%

Parenting payment

55%

34%

24%

31%

24%

10%

11%

A majority oppose making eligibility tougher for the age pension (75%) and the disability support pension (55%) but support making it tougher for unemployment benefits (65%) and parenting payments (55%).

Strongest opposition to making eligibility tougher for the age pension came from those aged 45-64 (85%).

Liberal/National voters were split over the disability support pension (45% support/47% oppose making it tougher).

76% of Liberal/National voters supported making eligibility for unemployment benefits tougher compared to 55% of Labor voters.

70% of those aged 55+ supported making eligibility for parenting payments tougher.

Alcohol-related violence

Jan 28, 2014

Q. As far as you know, do you think alcohol-related violence in Australia has increased or decreased over the last few years or has it not changed much?

 

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total increased

78%

81%

81%

58%

75%

Total decreased

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

Increased a lot

55%

53%

58%

40%

57%

Increased a little

23%

28%

23%

18%

18%

Not changed much

15%

12%

14%

32%

16%

Decreased a little

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

Decreased a lot

*

1%

1%

Don’t know

5%

3%

3%

8%

5%

78% think that alcohol-related violence in Australia has increased over the last few years – 55% think it has increased a lot.

70% of those aged 55+ think it has increased a lot compared to 39% of those aged 18-34.

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