Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 29, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

(current  figures)

 

4 weeks ago

1/10/13

2 weeks ago

15/10/13

Last week

22/10/13

This week

29/10/13

Liberal

 

40%

41%

41%

42%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

43%

44%

45%

Labor

33.4%

36%

35%

34%

35%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

12.4%

12%

12%

11%

11%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

1/10/13

2 weeks ago

15/10/13

Last week

22/10/13

This week

29/10/13

Liberal National

53.4%

52%

52%

53%

53%

Labor

46.6%

48%

48%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Leader Attributes – Tony Abbott

Oct 29, 2013

Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Tony Abbott?

 

2 Sep

(as Opposition leader)

 

Total

22 Oct

Change

Hard working

71%

67%

-4

Intelligent

63%

62%

-1

Narrow-minded

55%

54%

-1

Arrogant

52%

54%

+2

A capable leader

46%

52%

+6

Out of touch with ordinary people

52%

51%

-1

Understands the problems facing Australia

46%

51%

+5

Superficial

48%

49%

+1

Intolerant

47%

49%

+2

Aggressive

47%

46%

-1

Good in a crisis

39%

45%

+6

Erratic

43%

43%

Trustworthy

38%

40%

+2

More honest than most politicians

34%

39%

+5

Visionary

35%

33%

-2

Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard working (67%), intelligent (62%), narrow-minded (54%), arrogant (54%) and a capable leader (52%).

Since September, the largest shifts have been for a capable leader (+6), good in a crisis (+6), understands the problems facing Australia (+5), more honest than most politicians (+5) and hard working (-4).

Climate change and bushfires

Oct 29, 2013

Q. Thinking about the bushfires in New South Wales, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue

27%

41%

13%

64%

22%

It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this time

14%

14%

15%

9%

9%

It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change

48%

37%

63%

19%

62%

Don’t know

11%

8%

9%

7%

7%

41% think that the NSW bushfires are likely to be linked to climate change and 48% think it unlikely they are linked to climate change. 27% think they are linked and it is appropriate to raise this issue while 14% think they are linked but it is inappropriate to raise this issue at this time.

Those most likely to think the bushfires and climate change are linked were aged under 35 (49%), Labor voters (55%), Greens voters (73%) and those with university education (53%).

Those who think it is unlikely they are linked tended to be aged 55+ (61%), Liberal/National voters (63%) and those who had not completed secondary education (60%).

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