Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 29, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,912 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

1/7/13

2 weeks ago

15/7/13

Last week

23/7/13

This week

29/7/13

Liberal

 

43%

42%

42%

41%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

46%

45%

44%

Labor

38.0%

36%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

11.8%

9%

7%

7%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

1/7/13

2 weeks ago

15/7/13

Last week

23/7/13

This week

29/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

53%

52%

51%

51%

Labor

50.1%

47%

48%

49%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Approval of asylum seeker policy

Jul 29, 2013

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the announcement by the Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, that all asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat will be sent to New Guinea for processing and none will be resettled in Australia?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total approve

61%

75%

58%

32%

Total disapprove

28%

16%

32%

62%

Strongly approve

30%

45%

24%

7%

Approve

31%

30%

34%

25%

Disapprove

14%

10%

14%

31%

Strongly disapprove

14%

6%

18%

31%

Don’t know

11%

9%

10%

7%

61% approve of the announcement that all asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat will be sent to New Guinea for processing and none will be resettled in Australia and 28% disapprove.

75% of Labor voters and 58% of Liberal/National voters approve but 62% of Greens voters disapprove. A majority of all demographic groups approved – those most likely to disapprove were respondents with university degrees (54% approve/35% disapprove).

Of those who think the asylum seeker issue is one of or the most important election issue, 71% approve and 25% disapprove.

Party with best policy on handling asylum seeker issue

Jul 29, 2013

Q. Which party has the best policy for handling the issue of asylum seekers arriving by boat?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

 

17 Jun 13

Labor

25%

58%

4%

10%

13%

Liberal

26%

3%

57%

2%

38%

Greens

6%

5%

1%

44%

7%

None of them

28%

21%

25%

29%

31%

Don’t know

15%

13%

13%

15%

11%

26% (down 12% since June) think the Liberal Party has the best policy for handling the issue of asylum seekers arriving by boat and 25% (up 12%) think the Labor Party has the best policy. 28% think no party has the best policy.

58% (up 22%) of Labor voters think the Labor Party has the best policy compared with 57% (down 17%) of Liberal/National voters who think the Liberals have the best policy.

Of those who think the asylum seeker issue is one of or the most important election issue, 35% think that Labor has the best policy, 29% think the Liberals have the best policy and 17% think none of them do.

 

Importance of asylum seeker issue

Jul 29, 2013

Q. How important is the asylum seeker issue of in deciding which party you will vote for in the Federal election?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

 

17 Jun 13

The most important issue

7%

6%

8%

4%

6%

One of the most important issues

28%

27%

31%

34%

28%

Quite important but not as important as other issues

35%

40%

36%

33%

37%

Not very important

16%

16%

16%

19%

14%

Not at all important

8%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Don’t know

6%

4%

1%

1%

5%

35% of respondents think the asylum seeker issue is the most important or one of the most important election issues.

39% of Liberal/National voters think it is one of or the most important issues.

Workers’ productivity

Jul 29, 2013

Q. Overall, in your experience, how productive are most Australian workers?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Full time workers

Part time workers

 

30 Jul 12

6 Feb 12

Very productive

12%

14%

12%

13%

10%

12%

14%

15%

Quite productive

55%

61%

52%

55%

54%

56%

59%

59%

Not so productive

25%

19%

30%

22%

27%

27%

19%

19%

Not at all productive

3%

1%

4%

4%

4%

2%

3%

2%

Don’t know

5%

4%

3%

6%

5%

3%

5%

5%

67% think that overall, most Australian workers are very or quite productive. This figure has fallen a little since this question was asked in July last year.

Labor voters (75%) are more likely than Liberal/National voters (64%) to think workers are productive. There were no substantial differences across income or age groups.

Increasing productivity

Jul 29, 2013

Q. Which of the following would be the most effective way to increase productivity in Australian workplaces?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Full time workers

Part time workers

 

30 Jul 12

More flexibility for businesses in how they employ and manage workers

23%

16%

30%

16%

28%

20%

21%

More input from workers into how businesses are managed

15%

18%

14%

18%

16%

17%

17%

Invest more in skills and education

32%

39%

28%

31%

27%

38%

35%

Invest more in technology and innovation

8%

12%

5%

12%

8%

10%

8%

Stop Government assistance to industries so that they are forced to be productive or close

12%

7%

16%

11%

13%

9%

10%

Don’t know

9%

8%

7%

11%

7%

6%

9%

32% think investing more in skills and education is the most effective way to increase productivity, 23% favour more flexibility for businesses in how they employ and manage workers and 15% nominated more input from workers into how businesses are managed.

These figure are very similar to those when this question was asked in July last year.

39% of Labor voters favour investing in skills and education while 30% of Liberal/National voters favour more flexibility for businesses in how they employ and manage workers.

Best leader of the Liberal Party

Jul 29, 2013

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

 

23 Apr 12

30 May 11

28 Feb 11

27 Sep 10

Tony Abbott

17%

5%

36%

1%

23%

22%

24%

26%

Malcolm Turnbull

37%

44%

35%

51%

30%

25%

18%

20%

Joe Hockey

10%

9%

13%

9%

14%

17%

16%

15%

Julie Bishop

3%

4%

3%

1%

5%

3%

4%

5%

Andrew Robb

*

*

*

1%

1%

1%

na

Someone else

12%

20%

3%

13%

12%

13%

14%

na

Don’t know

19%

19%

9%

24%

16%

19%

22%

33%

37% (up 7% since April last year) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 17% (down 6%) prefer Tony Abbott and 10% (down 4%) Joe Hockey.

Among Liberal/National voters, 36% (-3%) prefer Tony Abbott, 35% (+9%) Malcolm Turnbull and 13% (-4%) Joe Hockey.

Malcolm Turnbull is preferred by 39% of men and 36% of women, Tony Abbott by 21% of men and 14% of women.

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