Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 24, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,916 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

27/5/13

2 weeks ago

11/6/13

Last week

17/6/13

This week

24/6/13

Liberal

 

45%

44%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

34%

36%

35%

34%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

10%

9%

9%

11%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

27/5/13

2 weeks ago

11/6/13

Last week

17/6/13

This week

24/6/13

Liberal National

49.9%

55%

54%

54%

55%

Labor

50.1%

45%

46%

46%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 17, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,913 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

20/5/13

2 weeks ago

3/6/13

Last week

11/6/13

This week

17/6/13

Liberal

 

45%

45%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

35%

35%

36%

35%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

20/5/13

2 weeks ago

3/6/13

Last week

11/6/13

This week

17/6/13

Liberal National

49.9%

55%

55%

54%

54%

Labor

50.1%

45%

45%

46%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 3, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,903 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

6/5/13

2 weeks ago

20/5/13

Last week

27/5/13

This week

3/6/13

Liberal

 

44%

45%

45%

45%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

33%

35%

34%

35%

Greens

11.8%

9%

8%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

10%

9%

10%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

6/5/13

2 weeks ago

20/5/13

Last week

27/5/13

This week

3/6/13

Liberal

49.9%

56%

55%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

45%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 27, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,906 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

29/4/13

2 weeks ago

13/5/13

Last week

20/5/13

This week

27/5/13

Liberal

45%

44%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

34%

34%

35%

34%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

10%

9%

10%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

55%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

45%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 20, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,924 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

22/4/13

2 weeks ago

6/5/13

Last week

13/5/13

This week

20/5/13

Liberal

44%

44%

44%

45%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

34%

33%

34%

35%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

10%

10%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

56%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 13, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,945 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

15/4/13

2 weeks ago

29/4/13

Last week

6/5/13

This week

13/5/13

Liberal

44%

45%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

34%

34%

33%

34%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

10%

10%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

55%

56%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

45%

44%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 6, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,840 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

8/4/13

2 weeks ago

22/4/13

Last week

29/4/13

This week

6/5/13

Liberal

47%

44%

45%

44%

National

2%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

32%

34%

34%

33%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

10%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

55%

55%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

45%

45%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 29, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,822 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2/4/13

2 weeks ago

15/4/13

Last week

22/4/13

This week

29/4/13

Liberal

47%

44%

44%

45%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

31%

34%

34%

34%

Greens

11.8%

11%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

55%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

45%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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