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  • Jul, 2013

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,980 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    24/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    8/7/13

    Last week

    15/7/13

    This week

    23/7/13

    Liberal

     

    44%

    42%

    42%

    42%

    National

    3%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    38%

    39%

    39%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    11%

    7%

    8%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    24/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    8/7/13

    Last week

    15/7/13

    This week

    23/7/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    55%

    52%

    52%

    51%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    48%

    48%

    49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jul, 2013

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,879 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    17/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    1/7/13

    Last week

    8/7/13

    This week

    15/7/13

    Liberal

     

    44%

    43%

    42%

    42%

    National

    3%

    3%

    4%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    38.0%

    35%

    36%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    9%

    8%

    7%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    7%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    17/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    1/7/13

    Last week

    8/7/13

    This week

    15/7/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    54%

    53%

    52%

    52%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    47%

    48%

    48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jul, 2013

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,778 respondent

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    11/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    24/6/13

    Last week

    1/7/13

    This week

    8/7/13

    Liberal

     

    44%

    44%

    43%

    42%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    34%

    36%

    38%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    9%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    11%

    9%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    11/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    24/6/13

    Last week

    1/7/13

    This week

    8/7/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    54%

    55%

    53%

    52%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    45%

    47%

    48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jul, 2013

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,865 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago
    3/6/13

    2 weeks ago
    17/6/13

    Last week
    24/6/13

    This week
    1/7/13

     

    This week (single week result)
    sample = 906

    Liberal

     

    45%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    42%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    38.0%

    35%

    35%

    34%

    36%

    38%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    11%

    9%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election
    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago
    3/6/13

    2 weeks ago
    17/6/13

    Last week
    24/6/13

    This week
    1/7/13

     

    This week (single week result)
    sample = 906

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    55%

    54%

    55%

    53%

    52%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    46%

    45%

    47%

    48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jun, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,916 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    27/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    11/6/13

    Last week

    17/6/13

    This week

    24/6/13

    Liberal

     

    45%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    36%

    35%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    11%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    27/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    11/6/13

    Last week

    17/6/13

    This week

    24/6/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    55%

    54%

    54%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jun, 2013

    , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,913 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    20/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    3/6/13

    Last week

    11/6/13

    This week

    17/6/13

    Liberal

     

    45%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    35%

    35%

    36%

    35%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    20/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    3/6/13

    Last week

    11/6/13

    This week

    17/6/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    55%

    55%

    54%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    45%

    46%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jun, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,903 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    6/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    20/5/13

    Last week

    27/5/13

    This week

    3/6/13

    Liberal

     

    44%

    45%

    45%

    45%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    35%

    34%

    35%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    10%

    9%

    10%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    6/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    20/5/13

    Last week

    27/5/13

    This week

    3/6/13

    Liberal

    49.9%

    56%

    55%

    55%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • May, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,906 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    29/4/13

    2 weeks ago

    13/5/13

    Last week

    20/5/13

    This week

    27/5/13

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    34%

    35%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    10%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    55%

    55%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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