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  • Apr, 2015

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?

      Total   Vote Lab Vote Lib/
    Nat
    Vote Greens Vote Other   Oct 2013 Mar 2014 June 2014 Dec 2104 Jan 2015 Feb 2015 Mar 2015
    Tony Abbott 32% 4% 76% 2% 19% 41% 39% 36% 31% 35% 31% 33%
    Bill Shorten 35% 69% 5% 62% 23% 22% 33% 40% 36% 37% 39% 37%
    Don’t know 33% 26% 19% 36% 57% 37% 28% 24% 33% 28% 30% 30%

    32% (down 1% since March) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 35% (down 2%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

    36% of men prefer Tony Abbott and 36% prefer Bill Shorten – and women prefer Bill Shorten 34% to 29%.

  • Nov, 2012

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

     

    18 Jan

    2010

    5 Jul

     

    20 Dec

    14 Mar

    2011

    14 June

    12 Sept

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 2012

    12 Jun

    10 Sept

    15 Oct

    12 Nov

    Total approve

    37%

    37%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    32%

    36%

    32%

    32%

    37%

    33%

    Total disapprove

    37%

    47%

    39%

    47%

    48%

    50%

    53%

    52%

    54%

    55%

    54%

    58%

    Strongly approve

    5%

    8%

    9%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    6%

    7%

    6%

    6%

    9%

    6%

    Approve

    32%

    29%

    30%

    31%

    32%

    31%

    26%

    29%

    26%

    26%

    28%

    27%

    Disapprove

    20%

    23%

    21%

    24%

    25%

    23%

    25%

    23%

    24%

    26%

    23%

    28%

    Strongly disapprove

    17%

    24%

    18%

    23%

    23%

    27%

    28%

    29%

    30%

    29%

    31%

    30%

    Don’t know

    26%

    16%

    22%

    16%

    15%

    11%

    14%

    12%

    13%

    13%

    9%

    10%

    Tony Abbott’s approval rating has dropped over the last month. 33% (down 4%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 58% (up 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -17 to -25 over the last 4 weeks. This is Tony Abbott’s lowest rating since he became Opposition Leader.

    65% (down 9%) of Coalition voters approve and 29% (up 7%) disapprove.

    By gender – men 36% approve/56% disapprove, women 29% approve/59% disapprove. In net terms this represents a decline with men from -16 to -20 and with women from -19 to -30.

  • Oct, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,792 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    1/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    15/10/12

    Last week

    22/10/12

    This week

    29/10/12

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5 Jul 10

    14 Mar 11

    14 Jun

    12 Sep

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 12

    12 Jun

    16 Jul

    13 Aug

    10 Sep

    15 Oct

    Vote
    ALP

    Vote Lib

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    44%

    41%

    36%

    39%

    40%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    40%

    43%

    89%

    5%

    77%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    33%

    36%

    40%

    35%

    37%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    37%

    36%

    2%

    81%

    2%

    Don’t know

    21%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    26%

    23%

    26%

    26%

    26%

    24%

    20%

    9%

    14%

    21%

    43% (up 3%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.

    Men are evenly split (at 40% each) and women prefer Julia Gillard 47%/33%. Compared to last month’s figures, Julia Gillard’s margin over Tony Abbott has changed 8 points in her favour among men (from 36%/44%) but is unchanged among women (from 44%/30%).

  • Sep, 2011

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    Performance of Tony Abbott as Opposition Leader

    Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view about the performance of Tony Abbott as Opposition leader?

    7 Mar 2011 6 Jun 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Tony Abbott is performing the role of Opposition leader well and is keeping the Government accountable 41% 42% 38% 6% 77% 10%
    Tony Abbott is just opposing everything and is obstructing the work of the Government 43% 44% 45% 82% 11% 77%
    Don’t know 16% 15% 17% 12% 11% 13%

    The proportion of respondents that believe that Tony Abbott is performing the role of Opposition Leader well is 38%, down four points from when the question was last asked on 6 June 2011.  Coalition voters are far more likely to regard Abbott as performing the role well (77%).

    Forty five per cent (45%) of respondents believe that Abbott is just opposing everything and is obstructing the work of Government (45%), a result that is fairly consistent with the previous occasions on which the question has been polled.   Labor voters are the most likely to agree with this position (82%), as are Greens voters (77%).

    Respondents aged 65+ are much more likely to regard Abbott as performing well (56%).

    Respondents from Queensland were also somewhat more likely to regard Abbott as doing well (44%).

    Comments »

  • Aug, 2011

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

    18 Jan

    2010

    29 Mar 5 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug
    Total approve 37% 33% 37% 43% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36% 42% 38% 39% 37%
    Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 37% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48% 44% 48% 49% 50%
    Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8%
    Approve 32% 25% 29% 31% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29% 34% 32% 33% 29%
    Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 21% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 24% 25%
    Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 16% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23% 19% 23% 25% 25%
    Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 15% 11% 13%

    37% (down 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 50% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -10 to -13 over the last 4 weeks. This is Tony Abbott’s worst approval rating this year.

    72% of Coalition voters approve and 20% disapprove.

    By gender – men 40% approve/49% disapprove, women 33% approve/51% disapprove.

    Comments »

  • Dec, 2010

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    The Past Year – Politicians

     Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

      Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
    Julia Gillard 49% 25% 14% 35% 22% 17% 8% 4%
    Bob Brown 38% 21% 9% 29% 28% 11% 10% 13%
    Tony Abbott 30% 33% 4% 26% 32% 25% 8% 6%
    Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 1% 9% 35% 30% 13% 11%
    Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 2% 8% 15% 36% 34% 5%

     

      Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
      Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
    Julia Gillard 49% 25% 69% 8% 36% 43% 57% 17%
    Bob Brown 38% 21% 40% 17% 35% 31% 68% 6%
    Tony Abbott 30% 33% 19% 45% 44% 21% 17% 54%
    Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 6% 50% 15% 42% 6% 50%
    Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 14% 64% 8% 81% 11% 73%

    Overall, Julia Gillard (49% good/25% bad) and Bob Brown (38%/21%) are thought to have had a good year. Respondents were divided on whether Tony Abbott has had a good year (30%/33%).

    A majority of their own voters thought Julia Gillard (69%) and Bob Brown (68%) have had a good year but only 44% of Liberal/National voters think Tony Abbott has had a good year. There is a substantial gender difference on the assessment of Tony Abbott – men split 37% good/30% bad and women 23% good/36% bad. Comments »

  • Nov, 2010

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    Liberal Party Leadership

    Q. Which of the following do you think would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election?

      Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Tony Abbott 23% 5% 50% 5%
    Malcolm Turnbull 22% 27% 19% 39%
    Joe Hockey 14% 15% 15% 12%
    Julie Bishop 6% 9% 5% 7%
    Andrew Robb 1% 1% 1%
    Someone else 15% 22% 3% 18%
    Don’t know 19% 21% 7% 19%

    23% think Tony Abbott would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election, 22% prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 14% Joe Hockey.

    Among Coalition voters, 50% prefer Tony Abbott, 19% Malcolm Turnbull and 15% Joe Hockey.

    Tony Abbott is preferred over Malcolm Turnbull by those aged under 45 22% to 19% but the over 45’s prefer Malcolm Turnbull over Tony Abbott 27% to 25%.

    A similar question (although not exactly the same) asked in September showed Tony Abbott with a 26% to 20% lead over Malcolm Turnbull overall and 53% to 15% among Coalition voters. Joe Hockey’s support was 15% in total and 17% among Liberal voters. Comments »

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