Better Prime Minister

Jul 5, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

28 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 94% 12% 72% 47% 49%
Tony Abbott 26% 2% 70% 3% 30% 29%
Don’t know 21% 4% 18% 24% 23% 22%

53% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 26% prefer Tony Abbott – somewhat better than Kevin Rudd’s last result of 47%/30% and also better than last week’s figures for Julia Gillard just after she became Prime Minister.

Men prefer Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 48% to 31% and women 57%/22%. Comments »

Attributes to describe the Opposition Leader

Jul 5, 2010

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

7 Dec 09 10 May 10 5 Jul 10 Change
Intelligent 71% 72% 70% -2
Hard-working 69% 71% 76% +5
A capable leader 46% 50% 47% -3
Demanding 53% 52% 53% +1
Arrogant 53% 54% 59% +5
Out of touch with ordinary people 53% 51% 57% +6
Understands the problems facing Australia 46% 49% 50% +1
Visionary 34% 35% 32% -3
Superficial 42% 44% 45% +1
Good in a crisis 39% 40% 40%
Narrow-minded 52% 53% 56% +3
Down to earth 46% 50% 47% -3
Too inflexible 45% 47% 45% -2
Complacent 31% 30% 34% +4
More honest than most politicians 31% 33% 33%
Trustworthy 36% 39% 33% -6

*Not asked in June 2009 poll

Tony Abbott’s key attributes are hardworking (76%) and intelligent (70%).

There have been few substantial changes since this question was last asked – the main differences being hardworking (up 5%), arrogant (up 5%), out of touch (up 6%) and trustworthy (down 6%). Comments »

Comparison of Leader Attributes

Jul 5, 2010

Julia Gillard Tony Abbott Difference
Intelligent 87% 70% +17
Hard-working 89% 76% +13
A capable leader 72% 47% +25
Demanding 58% 53% +5
Arrogant 37% 59% -22
Out of touch with ordinary people 35% 57% -22
Understands the problems facing Australia 68% 50% +18
Visionary 48% 32% +16
Superficial 35% 45% -10
Good in a crisis 61% 40% +21
Narrow-minded 28% 56% -28
Down to earth 68% 47% +21
Too inflexible 26% 45% -19
Complacent 27% 34% +13
More honest than most politicians 45% 33% +12
Trustworthy 49% 33% +16

Julia Gillard is rated substantially higher than Tony Abbott on all positive attributes and lower on negative attributes.

The largest differences are in terms of narrow-minded (-28%), a capable leader (+25%) and arrogant (-22%).

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 28, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,803sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 39% 38% 37% 36%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 41% 40% 39%
Labor 47% 39% 35% 38% 42%
Greens 8% 9% 14% 11% 9%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 8% 8% 8% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 49% 49% 48% 46%
Labor 57% 51% 51% 52% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jun 28, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 21 Jun 10
Julia Gillard 49% 86% 12% 50%
Tony Abbott 29% 4% 73% 32%
Don’t know 22% 11% 12% 18%

Sample = 818

49% preferred Julia Gillard as Prime Minister and 29% preferred Tony Abbott – similar to the results from last week before Julia Gillard became Prime Minister. This is also slightly better than last week’s result for Kevin Rudd when he was preferred over Tony Abbott by 47% to 30%. Men preferred Julia Gillard 47%/33% and women 51%/25%.  Comments »

Approval of Tony Abbott

Jun 28, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

Malcolm Turnbull Tony Abbott
30 Nov 09 14 Dec 09 18 Jan 10 22 Feb 10 29 Mar 10 3 May 10 31 May 10 28 Jun 10
Total approve 25% 34% 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 40%
Total disapprove 55% 36% 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 39%
Strongly approve 2% 7% 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 9%
Approve 23% 27% 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 31%
Disapprove 33% 18% 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 20%
Strongly disapprove 22% 18% 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 19%
Don’t know 19% 31% 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 20%

Tony Abbott has achieved a net positive approval rating for the first time since February – 40% approve (up 5%) and 39% disapprove (down 11%).

83% Liberal/National voters approved of Tony Abbott and 11% disapproved. Comments »

Changing Leaders – Tony Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is the best person to lead the Liberal Party to the next election or would the Liberal Party have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leaders?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Tony Abbott is the best person to lead the Liberal Party to the next election 29% 14% 62%
The Liberal Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leaders 47% 65% 25%
Don’t know 24% 21% 13%

47% of respondents thought the Liberal Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leader – 29% thought Tony Abbott was the best person to be leader.

Liberal/National voters supported Tony Abbott as leader by 62% to 25%. 79% of Greens voters and 49% of other/independent voters thought the Liberal Party should change their leader. Men (34%) and those aged 65+ (34%) were the strongest supporters of Tony Abbott remaining as leader. Comments »

Best Leader – Rudd/Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 22 Mar 10
Kevin Rudd 47% 90% 9% 50%
Tony Abbott 30% 3% 80% 30%
Don’t know 23% 7% 11% 19%

47% believe that Kevin Rudd would make the best Prime Minister and 30% preferred Tony Abbott. This is little changed since the last time this question was asked when Kevin Rudd was preferred 50% to 30%.

Men preferred Kevin Rudd by 45% to 38%, whereas women were much less likely to prefer Tony Abbott (Rudd 49%, Abbott 23%).  Greens voters preferred Kevin Rudd 64% to 9%. Comments »

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