Best Leader – Gillard/Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Julia Gillard?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Tony Abbott 32% 6% 76%
Julia Gillard 50% 85% 16%
Don’t know 18% 9% 8%

50% believe that Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 32% prefer Tony Abbott.

There were major differences by gender – men preferred Julia Gillard by a margin of 7% (47%/40%) whereas the margin among women was 28% (53%/25%). Greens voters preferred Julia Gillard 83% to 8%. Comments »

Approval of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott

May 31, 2010

Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Malcolm Turnbull Tony Abbott
  30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 30 Nov 09 14 Dec 09 18 Jan 10 22 Feb 10 29 Mar 10 3 May 10 31 May 10
Strongly approve 3% 4% 3% 2% 7% 5% 12% 8% 5% 5%
Approve 25% 20% 24% 23% 27% 32% 33% 25% 34% 30%
Disapprove 31% 31% 35% 33% 18% 20% 20% 28% 24% 28%
Strongly disapprove 17% 26% 18% 22% 18% 17% 16% 22% 19% 22%
Don’t know 24% 19% 21% 19% 31% 26% 18% 16% 18% 16%
Total approve 28% 24% 27% 25% 34% 37% 45% 33% 39% 35%
Total disapprove 48% 57% 53% 55% 36% 37% 36% 50% 43% 50%

 Tony Abbott’s approval rating has fallen back close to the level of the March poll – which was his lowest recorded. 35% approve (down 4%) of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 50% disapprove (up 7%).

72% of Liberal/National voters approve and 17% disapprove. 77% of Labor voters disapprove and 15% approve.

 The only group showing net approval was people aged 65+ (52% approve/42% disapprove).

Likelihood of Liberal’s Re-introducing WorkChoices

May 31, 2010

Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?

Total likely 58%
Total unlikely 21%
Very likely 28%
Quite likely 30%
Not very likely 18%
Not at all likely 3%
Don’t know 20%

 58% believe it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election – 21% think it is unlikely.

 83% of Labor voters and 42% of Liberal/National voters think it is likely – 44% of Liberal/National voters think it is unlikely.

64% of workers think it is likely and 17% unlikely. Comments »

Tony Abbot Vs Union Position

May 31, 2010

Q. Tony Abbott says that by removing unfair dismissal laws and re-instituting AWA Individual contracts he is not bringing back Workchoices but making sure our IR system promotes workplace flexibility. The unions say that taking away unfair dismissal rights and re-instituting AWA Individual contracts IS bringing back two of the main pillars of WorkChoices and shows the Liberals are determined to make the laws favour companies at the expense of ordinary workers. Whose view is closest to your own?

Tony Abbott 24%
The unions 43%
Don’t know 33%

 24% agreed more with Tony Abbott’s position on removing unfair dismissal laws and re-instituting AWA Individual contracts and 43% agreed more with the unions’ position that the Liberals are determined to make the laws favour companies at the expense of ordinary workers.

69% of Labor voters support the unions’ position and 56% of Liberal/National voters support Tony Abbott’s position.

 51% of those aged 35-54 support the unions’ position and 21% support Tony Abbott’s position. Comments »

Opinion of Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party

May 24, 2010

Q. Would you say that your view of Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party has become more or less favourable in recent weeks?

Total more favourable 26%
Total less favourable 34%
Much more favourable 7%
A little more favourable 19%
A little less favourable 13%
Much less favourable 21%
No change 36%
Don’t know 4%

 34% of respondents said their view of Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party had become less favourable over recent weeks and 26% said they had become more favourable.

55% of Coalition voters said they had become more favourable and 13% less favourable. Labor voters split 8% more favourable/52% less favourable and Greens voters 15% more favourable/61% less favourable.

 31% of men had become more favourable compared to 22% of women.

Those on higher incomes had the most favourable view – respondents with incomes over $1,600 pw were 34% more favourable/32% less favourable. Comments »

View of Tony Abbott

May 24, 2010

If a little more or much more favourable –

Q. And which of the following would you say has been the main reason for your view of Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party becoming more favourable in recent weeks?

Tony Abbott is more in touch with ordinary Australians 21%
They would cut Government spending 20%
They oppose the 40% tax on mining companies 15%
They would be tough on asylum seekers 12%
Liberal Party is more united under Tony Abbott 11%
They oppose introduction of ETS to address climate change 9%
Some other reason 4%
No particular reason 8%

Sample size = 269

The main reasons for having a more favourable view of Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party were that Tony Abbott is more in touch with ordinary Australians (21%) and the Liberals would cut Government spending (20%). Opposing the 40% tax on mining companies rated third with 15%.

For Coalition voters the main reasons were that Tony Abbott is more in touch with ordinary Australians (24%) and the Liberals would cut Government spending (24%).

27% of those on higher incomes (over $1,000 pw) said Tony Abbott is more in touch with ordinary Australians compared to 12% of those on lower incomes (under $1,000 pw). Comments »

Trustworthiness of Leaders

May 24, 2010

Q. Do you think the Opposition leader Tony Abbott is more or less trustworthy than the average Australian political leader?Q. And do you think the Prime Minister Kevin Rudd is more or less trustworthy than the average Australian political leader?

  Tony Abbott Kevin Rudd
Total more trustworthy 20% 19%
Total less trustworthy 32% 34%
A lot more trustworthy 8% 4%
A little more trustworthy 12% 15%
About the same 40% 41%
A little less trustworthy 10% 13%
A lot less trustworthy 22% 21%
Don’t know 9% 5%

Perceptions of trustworthiness were similar for the two leaders  – both net negative.

20% believe Tony Abbott to be more trustworthy than the average compared to 32% less trustworthy. For Kevin Rudd the results were 19% more trustworthy and 34% less trustworthy.

47% of Coalition voters think Tony Abbott is more trustworthy and 56% of Labor voters think he is less trustworthy. For Kevin Rudd 40% of Labor voters think he is more trustworthy and 69% of Coalition voters think he is less trustworthy.

Greens voters tend to think Tony Abbott is less trustworthy (55%) and are split on Kevin Rudd (24% more/25% less). Comments »

Attributes to describe the Opposition Leader

May 10, 2010

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

  7 Dec 09 10 May 10 Change
Intelligent 71% 72% +1%
Hard-working 69% 71% +2%
A capable leader 46% 50% +4%
Demanding 53% 52% -1%
Arrogant 53% 54% +1%
Out of touch with ordinary people 53% 51% -2%
Understands the problems facing Australia 46% 49% +3%
Visionary 34% 35% +1%
Superficial 42% 44% +2%
Good in a crisis 39% 40% +1%
Narrow-minded 52% 53% +1%
Down to earth 46% 50% +4%
Too inflexible 45% 47% +2%
Complacent 31% 30% -1%
More honest than most politicians 31% 33% +2%
Trustworthy 36% 39% +3%

*Not asked in June 2009 poll

When it comes to rating Tony Abbott, most people think he is intelligent (72%) and hard-working (71%), yet arrogant (54%), narrow-minded (53%) and demanding (52%).   

There were few substantial changes Tony Abbott’s ratings compared to the December 2009 results. His rating for being a capable leader improved 4% to 50%, as did his rating for being down to earth.

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