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  • Apr, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,905 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    25/3/13

    2 weeks ago

    8/4/13

    Last week

    15/4/13

    This week

    22/4/13

    Liberal

    45%

    47%

    44%

    44%

    National

    2%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    32%

    34%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    56%

    55%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Mar, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,894 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    5/2/13

    2 weeks ago

    18/2/13

    Last week

    25/2/13

    This week

    4/3/13

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    35%

    34%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Jan, 2013

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,895 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago

    14/1/13

    Last week

    21/01/13

    This week

    29/01/13

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    4%

    4%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    35%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Jan, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,861 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week ago

    14/1/13

    This week

    21/01/13

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    National

    4%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Dec, 2012

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,888 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    12/11/12

    2 weeks ago

    26/11/12

    Last week

    3/12/12

    This week

    10/12/12

    Liberal

    42%

    44%

    44%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    37%

    36%

    37%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    52%

    53%

    53%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Nov, 2012

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size =  1,832 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    29/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    12/11/12

    Last week

    19/11/12

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    42%

    43%

    44%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    45%

    46%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    52%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Nov, 2012

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,925 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    22/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    7/11/12

    Last week

    12/11/12

    This week

    19/11/12

    Liberal

    44%

    43%

    42%

    43%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    46%

    45%

    46%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    52%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Nov, 2012

    , , , , ,

    Party trust to handle important election issues

    Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

     

    ALP

    Libs

    Greens

    Don’t know

    Difference
    19
    Nov 12

    Difference
    18
    Jun 12

    Management of the economy

    31%

    45%

    2%

    22%

    -14

    -18

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    38%

    33%

    4%

    24%

    +5

    -2

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    32%

    35%

    7%

    25%

    -3

    -6

    Protecting the environment

    19%

    22%

    38%

    21%

    +16

    +17

    A fair industrial relations system

    41%

    32%

    4%

    23%

    +9

    +6

    Political leadership

    26%

    38%

    6%

    30%

    -12

    -16

    Addressing climate change

    22%

    23%

    32%

    24%

    +9

    +7

    Controlling interest rates

    28%

    39%

    3%

    30%

    -11

    -18

    Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    34%

    36%

    4%

    27%

    -2

    -6

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    21%

    28%

    23%

    27%

    -7

    -12

    Housing affordability

    28%

    33%

    5%

    33%

    -5

    -11

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    30%

    39%

    4%

    27%

    -9

    -10

    Security and the war on terrorism

    25%

    40%

    4%

    31%

    -15

    -22

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    20%

    38%

    13%

    29%

    -18

    -20

    Managing population growth

    22%

    37%

    6%

    35%

    -15

    -19

    Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

    Labor leads the Liberal Party on ensuring a quality education for all children and a fair industrial relations system. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership, security and the war on terrorism, treatment of asylum seekers and managing population growth.

    There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals on ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Since June, there has been a shift in Labor’s favour on most issues – especially, ensuring a quality education for all children, controlling interest rates, housing affordability and security and the war on terrorism.

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