Best Leader of the Labor Party

Apr 23, 2012

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?

 

30 May 2011

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard

23%

16%

40%

4%

21%

Kevin Rudd

32%

31%

33%

32%

32%

Wayne Swan

2%

4%

6%

4%

5%

Greg Combet

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

Bill Shorten

3%

6%

8%

5%

3%

Someone else

19%

23%

6%

33%

18%

Don’t know

17%

17%

6%

19%

19%

33% think Kevin Rudd would make the best leader of the Labor Party and 16% prefer Julia Gillard. This represents  declines of 1% for Kevin Rudd and 7% for Julia Gillard since this question was asked nearly 12 months ago. Those selecting “someone else” has increased from 19% to 23%.

Julia Gillard is preferred by 40% of Labor voters compared to 33% for Kevin Rudd. Men prefer Kevin Rudd over Julia Gillard 33% to 16% and women by 28% to 17%.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Apr 16, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

 

19 Jul 2010

20 Dec 2010

14 Mar

2011

14 June

12 Sept

17 Oct

14 Nov

12 Dec

16 Jan 2012

13 Feb

12 Mar

16 Apr

Total approve

52%

43%

41%

34%

28%

34%

37%

34%

37%

36%

32%

32%

Total disapprove

30%

40%

46%

54%

64%

59%

55%

54%

52%

53%

61%

58%

Strongly approve

11%

10%

7%

6%

5%

7%

8%

6%

6%

6%

8%

7%

Approve

41%

33%

34%

28%

23%

27%

29%

28%

31%

30%

24%

25%

Disapprove

17%

24%

22%

29%

28%

27%

25%

25%

27%

26%

29%

31%

Strongly disapprove

13%

16%

24%

25%

36%

32%

30%

29%

25%

27%

32%

27%

Don’t know

18%

17%

13%

13%

8%

7%

9%

11%

12%

11%

7%

10%

Julia Gillard’s approval rating has changed little since last month. 32% (no change) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 58% (down 3%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -29 to -26 over the last 5 weeks.

67% of Labor voters approve (down 8%) and 21% disapprove (up 1%).

By gender – men 32% approve/60% disapprove, women 32% approve/55% disapprove.

Party Best At…

Apr 10, 2012

Q. Which party – Labor or Liberal – do you think is best when it comes to:

 

Labor

Liberal

No difference

Don’t know

Difference

Representing the interests of Australian working families

37%

25%

29%

9%

+12

Representing the interests of you and people like you

29%

35%

26%

10%

-6

Standing up for the middle class in Australia

26%

33%

30%

11%

-7

Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests

10%

54%

25%

11%

-44

Being more concerned about the interests of working families in Australia than the rich and large business and financial interests

37%

22%

30%

11%

+15

Handling the economy overall

22%

41%

26%

10%

-19

Handling the economy in a way that tries to take the interests of working families into consideration as much as it takes the interests of the large corporate and financial groups

29%

34%

25%

12%

-5

Handling the economy in a way that best helps small business

22%

40%

25%

13%

-18

Handling the economy in a way that best helps the middle class

23%

38%

27%

12%

-15

Handling the economy in a way that helps you and people like you the most.

26%

36%

27%

11%

-10

Labor was considered best at representing the interests of Australian working families (37%) and being more concerned about the interests of working families in Australia than the rich and large business and financial interests (37%). The Liberals were considered best on all the other measures.

In particular, the Liberal Party was considered much better on representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests (54%), handling the economy overall (41%) and handling the economy in a way that best helps small business (40%).

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Approval of Bob Carr

Mar 12, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of former NSW Premier Bob Carr going into the Senate and taking up the position of Foreign Minister?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total approve

37%

60%

23%

39%

Total disapprove

36%

15%

54%

17%

Strongly approve

7%

17%

2%

7%

Approve

30%

43%

21%

32%

Disapprove

19%

10%

27%

11%

Strongly disapprove

17%

5%

27%

6%

Don’t know

27%

25%

22%

45%

Opinions of the former NSW Premier Bob Carr going into the Senate and taking up the position of Foreign Minister were split – 37% approved and 36% disapproved.

60% of Labor voters approved and 54% of Liberal/National voters disapproved.

Respondents from New South Wales were a little more positive – 43% approve and 37% disapprove.

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Leadership Challenge Good or Bad for Government

Mar 5, 2012

Q. Do you think the recent leadership challenge has been good or bad for the Labor Government?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total good

13%

30%

7%

16%

Total bad

62%

39%

80%

50%

Very good

4%

10%

2%

4

Good

9%

20%

5%

12%

Neither good nor bad

18%

26%

12%

28%

Bad

24%

25%

22%

28%

Very bad

38%

14%

58%

22%

Don’t know

6%

4%

2%

6%

62% think that the recent leadership challenge was bad for the Labor Party and only 13% think it was good.

Labor voters were split – 39% think it was bad, 30% good and 26% neither good nor bad.

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More or Less Likely to Vote Labor

Mar 5, 2012

Q. Has the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader of the Labor Party made you more or less likely to support the ALP at the next federal election.

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total more likely

13%

33%

5%

18%

Total less likely

47%

21%

64%

38%

Much more likely

6%

17%

1%

5%

A little more likely

7%

16%

4%

13%

A little less likely

10%

11%

7%

16%

Much less likely

37%

10%

57%

22%

Makes no difference

34%

42%

30%

43%

Don’t know

5%

3%

1%

47% say that the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader has made them less likely to support the Labor Party and only 13% say it has made them more likely to support the Labor Party at the next election.

Among Labor voters, 33% say it has made them more likely and 21% less likely to support Labor.

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Kevin Rudd’s Future

Mar 5, 2012

Q. What do you think Kevin Rudd should do now?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Stay in Parliament and challenge again

29%

30%

28%

29%

Stay in Parliament and not challenge again

28%

44%

17%

46%

Resign from Parliament

30%

17%

44%

20%

Don’t know

13%

8%

10%

5%

Respondents were divided about what Kevin Rudd should do – 30% say he should resign from parliament, 29% think he should stay and challenge again and 28% think he should stay and not challenge again.

Among Labor voters, 44% think he should stay and not challenge, while 44% of Liberal/National voters think he should resign from Parliament. 46% of Greens voters think he should stay in Parliament and not challenge again.

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Performance during Leadership Challenge

Mar 5, 2012

Q. How would you rate the performance of the following during the Labor leadership challenge?

 

Total good

Total poor

Very good

Good

Average

Poor

Very poor

Don’t know

Julia Gillard

23%

49%

10%

13%

24%

17%

32%

4%

Kevin Rudd

33%

35%

12%

21%

27%

16%

19%

4%

Labor Party Ministers

10%

52%

2%

8%

30%

25%

27%

8%

Tony Abbott

25%

40%

9%

16%

27%

18%

22%

8%

The media

14%

43%

3%

11%

35%

20%

23%

6%

Apart from Kevin Rudd, the performance of all parties to the leadership challenge were rated poorly.

33% thought the performance of Kevin Rudd was good and 35% poor. For Julia Gillard the rating was 23% good and 49% poor. Labor Party Ministers were rated most negatively – 10% good and 52% poor.

However, Julia Gillard was rated a little better than Kevin Rudd by Labor voters – their rating of Julia Gillard was 50% good/15% poor compared to 49% good/22% poor for Kevin Rudd.

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