Approval of Julia Gillard

Jan 17, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14%

51% (up 8%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 36% (down 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +3 to +15 over the last 4 weeks.

89% of Labor voters approve and 6% disapprove.

By gender – men 51% approve/37% disapprove, women 50% approve/35% disapprove.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Dec 20, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 26 Jul 2 Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 49% 46% 45% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 33% 38% 40% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 12% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 37% 36% 32% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 19% 23% 24% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 14% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 17% 15% 15% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17%

43% (no change) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 40% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +5 to +3.

85% of Labor voters approve and 7% disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/42% disapprove, women 41% approve/37% disapprove.

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The Past Year – Political Parties

Dec 13, 2010

Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following political parties?

Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
The Greens 42% 21% 9% 33% 28% 12% 9% 8%
The Liberal Party 33% 27% 8% 25% 33% 20% 7% 7%
The Labor Party 21% 47% 3% 18% 24% 33% 14% 7%

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
The Greens 42% 21% 49% 9% 38% 35% 70% 4%
The Liberal Party 33% 27% 23% 37% 52% 16% 18% 45%
The Labor Party 21% 47% 36% 27% 16% 67% 18% 53%

Respondents were more likely to think it has been a good year for the Greens (42%) than the Liberal Party (33%) or the Labor Party (21%).

Among their own voters 70% think it has been a good year for the Greens, 52% the Liberal Party and 36% the Labor Party.

Men (40% good/27% bad) are more likely than women (26%/28%) to think it has been a good year for the Liberal Party Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Nov 22, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 26 Jul 2 Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 49% 46% 45% 46% 45% 45% 43%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 33% 38% 40% 40% 37% 37% 38%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 12% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 7%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 37% 36% 32% 33% 33% 36% 36%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 19% 23% 24% 24% 21% 20% 23%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 14% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17% 15%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 17% 15% 15% 13% 19% 18% 18%

43% (down 2%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 38% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +8 to +5.

87% of Labor voters approve and 4% disapprove.

By gender – men 39% approve/44% disapprove, women 47% approve/33% disapprove. Men have shifted from a net rating of  +4 to -5 while women have changed from +10 to +14.

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So where is the Left?

Oct 26, 2010

First Published on The Drum 26/10/2010

If political progressives want to stop the ALP from drifting to the Right, energetically backing the decision to move women and children out of immigration detention looks like a good place to start.

Prime Minister Julia Gillard and Immigration minister Chris Bowen took the new minority government’s first truly brave decision last week, yet all they got was a sullen acceptance from a Left still acting like jilted lovers after the disappointments of the election campaign.

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Holding centre ground can be war

Oct 12, 2010

First Published on The Drum 12/10/2010

Attempting to manage public confidence in the war in Afghanistan, the Labor Party is exposing its left flank in a way that calls into question three decades of political centrism.

These are challenging times for the ALP, with minority control in Canberra, hand-wringing election post mortems and flagging state administrations around the nation. A key theme appears to be ‘Labor has lost its way’.

But what is the ALP way? Since at least the Whitlam era, Labor orthodoxy has been that the occupation of the centre ground was a precondition for electoral success. Careers were built on the tough work of shifting Labor from ideological dogma to more pragmatic policies.

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