Senate – balance of power

Jul 22, 2014

Q. Clive Palmer’s Palmer United Party now has the balance of power in the Senate.

With this in mind, do you think the election of micro parties in the Senate – such as Palmer United Party, Family First, Liberal Democrats, Motor Enthusiasts Party, Australian Sports Party – is good or bad for democracy? 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Oct 2013

Good for democracy

36%

44%

26%

42%

59%

36%

Bad for democracy

28%

18%

48%

18%

12%

26%

Makes no difference

15%

17%

12%

22%

10%

17%

Don’t know

21%

21%

15%

18%

19%

20%

36% think that the election of micro parties to the Senate is good for democracy and 28% think it is bad. 15% think it makes no difference. These figures have changed little since this question was asked in October last year.

Labor voters are more likely to think it is good (44%) while Liberal/National voters are more likely to think it is bad (48%).

48% of Queenslanders think it is good and 48% of respondents aged 55+ think it is bad.

PUP and the Greens

Jul 22, 2014

Q. In the previous Parliament, the Greens held the balance of power. Would you have more confidence in a Parliament where the Greens held the balance of power or where the Palmer United Party held the balance of power?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

More confidence in the Greens holding the balance

27%

38%

14%

76%

13%

More confidence in the Palmer United Party holding the balance

22%

16%

26%

5%

49%

No difference

34%

28%

47%

12%

27%

Don’t know

17%

18%

13%

8%

11%

34% think it makes no difference whether the Greens or PUP hold the balance of power in the Senate. 27% would have more confidence in the Greens holding the balance of power and 22% have more confidence in PUP.

Liberal/National voters were more likely to think it makes no difference (47%) while 38% of Labor voters have more confidence in the Greens holding the balance.

Greens holding balance of power

Jun 24, 2014

Q. Do you think the Greens holding the balance of power in the Senate has been good or bad for Australia? 

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total good

28%

48%

6%

75%

28%

Total bad

37%

18%

68%

38%

Very good

12%

24%

1%

42%

6%

Good

16%

24%

5%

33%

22%

Neither good nor bad

23%

24%

19%

21%

27%

Bad

15%

12%

22%

20%

Very bad

22%

6%

46%

18%

Don’t know

11%

12%

6%

4%

7%

28% think that the Greens holding the balance of power in the Senate has been good for Australia and 37% think it has been bad.

75% of Greens voters and 48% of Labor voters think it has been good for Australia while 68% of Liberal/National voters think it has been bad.

PUP holding balance of power

Jun 24, 2014

Q. When the newly elected Senate takes office in July, the Palmer United Party and other micro-parties will hold the balance of power. Do you think this will be good or bad for Australia? 

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total good

26%

40%

13%

20%

50%

Total bad

39%

25%

62%

41%

21%

Very good

6%

12%

2%

4%

11%

Good

20%

28%

11%

16%

39%

Neither good nor bad

17%

15%

14%

19%

20%

Bad

20%

16%

27%

24%

14%

Very bad

19%

9%

35%

17%

7%

Don’t know

18%

20%

11%

18%

9%

26% think that the Palmer United Party and other micro-parties holding the balance of power in the Senate will be good for Australia and 39% think it will be bad – similar overall results to the previous question about the Greens.

50% of other voters and 40% of Labor voters think it will be good for Australia while 62% of Liberal/National voters think it will be bad.

Senate – balance of power

Oct 22, 2013

Q. Clive Palmer’s Palmer United Party now has the balance of power in the Senate.

With this in mind, do you think the election of micro parties in the Senate – such as Palmer United Party, Family First, Liberal Democrats, Motor Enthusiasts Party, Australian Sports Party – is good or bad for democracy?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Good for democracy

36%

41%

28%

35%

Bad for democracy

26%

23%

38%

19%

Makes no difference

17%

18%

18%

19%

Don’t know

20%

19%

16%

27%

36% think that the election of micro parties to the Senate is good for democracy and 26% think it is bad. 17% think it makes no difference. Labor voters are more likely to think it is good (41%) while Liberal/National voters are more likely to think it is bad (38%).

44% of high income earners ($1,600+ pw) think it is good as do 45% of Queenslanders.

Independents and Greens holding Balance of Power

Oct 10, 2011

Q. Do you think the independents and Greens holding the balance of power in Parliament has been good or bad for Australia?

7 Mar 11 6 Jun 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good 27% 28% 22% 32% 9% 72%
Total bad 41% 39% 50% 30% 76% 7%
Very good 7% 9% 5% 8% 1% 30%
Good 20% 19% 17% 24% 8% 42%
Neither good nor bad 33% 33% 28% 38% 15% 21%
Bad 22% 21% 23% 22% 27% 5%
Very bad 19% 18% 27% 8% 49% 2%

The majority of respondents seem to regard the independents and the Greens holding the balance of power in Parliament as bad for Australia (50% bad), whilst 22% regard it is good for the country.

Enthusiasm for the independents and the Greens in federal Parliament fell 6 points since last polled in June 2011, from 28% to 22% of respondents regarding it as good for the country.

At the same time, disdain for the situation has risen considerably since June 2011: from 39% to 50% this time around.

Labor voters are almost equally split on the issue of the independents and Greens holding the balance of power, with 32% regarding it to be a good thing, and 30% viewing it as bad.

Lib/Nat voters are the most likely to regard the situation as bad (76%), whereas Greens voters are by far the most likely to regard it as good (72%).

Respondents aged 18-24 (38%) and 25-34 (33%) were significantly more likely to regard the situation as good.

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Composition of Parliament

Sep 19, 2011

Q. Thinking about the Federal Government, which of the following scenarios would you prefer –

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Green
One of the major parties having a majority in both the House of Representatives and the Senate 36% 36% 49% 7%
One of the major parties having a majority in the House of Representatives and the other having a majority in the Senate 21% 16% 27% 10%
One of the major parties having a majority in the House of Representatives and the Greens having the balance of power in the Senate 16% 22% 4% 63%
Don’t know 28% 26% 21% 19%

Most respondents think that ‘one of the major parties having a majority in both the House of Representatives and the Senate’ is preferable (36%).  Lib/Nat voters are the most likely to prefer this scenario (49%) and Greens voters the least likely to do so (7%).  Male respondents were also more likely to prefer this scenario (40%) than female respondents (32%).

Respondents then selected ‘one of the major parties having a majority in the House of Representatives and the other having a majority in the Senate’ as their next preferred scenario (21%).  Lib/Nat voters are the most likely to regard this scenario as preferable (27%).

The least favoured option amongst respondents is ‘one of the major parties having a majority in the House of Representatives and the Greens having the balance of power in the Senate’, with 16% selecting this option.  Greens voters are the most likely to regard this option as the most preferable (63%).

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Balance of Power in the Senate

Jun 29, 2011

Q. From July, the Greens will hold the balance of power in the Senate. Do you think this will be good or bad for Australia? (This question was commissioned by Network Ten).

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total good 33% 44% 13% 95% 32% 36% 44% 34% 22%
Total bad 45% 29% 73% 1% 52% 39% 29% 45% 65%
Very good 10% 11% 2% 56% 9% 12% 12% 11% 7%
Good 23% 33% 11% 39% 23% 24% 32% 23% 15%
Bad 17% 21% 19% 1% 18% 16% 14% 19% 17%
Very bad 28% 8% 54% 34% 23% 15% 26% 48%
Make no difference 11% 15% 8% 2% 9% 12% 13% 10% 9%
Don’t know 11% 11% 5% 1% 8% 14% 15% 11% 5%

33% think that the Greens holding the balancer of power in the Senate will be good for Australia and 45% think it will be bad – 11% think it will make no difference. Labor voters are more likely to think it will be good (44% good to 29% bad) while Liberal/National voters overwhelmingly think it will be bad (73%).

Women (36% good/39% bad) were somewhat more positive than men (32% good/52% bad) while younger respondents were much more likely to think it would be good than older respondents.

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