Likelihood of extreme events

Nov 4, 2014

Q. Do you think that, over the next few years, Australia will be more or less likely to experience severe bushfires and extreme weather events like floods and cyclones?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total more likely

63%

72%

49%

86%

65%

Total less likely

1%

1%

*

2%

3%

A lot more likely

33%

41%

19%

61%

31%

A little more likely

30%

31%

30%

25%

34%

About the same

33%

26%

47%

11%

29%

A little less likely

1%

1%

2%

2%

A lot less likely

*

*

1%

Don’t know

4%

1%

4%

1%

4%

 

63% think that sever bushfires and extreme weather events will be more likely over the next few years.

86% of Greens voters and 63% of Labor voters think they will be more likely. However, 47% of Liberal/National voters think they will be neither more likely nor less likely.

68% of women think they will be more likely compared to 56% of men.

Climate change and bushfires

Oct 29, 2013

Q. Thinking about the bushfires in New South Wales, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue

27%

41%

13%

64%

22%

It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this time

14%

14%

15%

9%

9%

It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change

48%

37%

63%

19%

62%

Don’t know

11%

8%

9%

7%

7%

41% think that the NSW bushfires are likely to be linked to climate change and 48% think it unlikely they are linked to climate change. 27% think they are linked and it is appropriate to raise this issue while 14% think they are linked but it is inappropriate to raise this issue at this time.

Those most likely to think the bushfires and climate change are linked were aged under 35 (49%), Labor voters (55%), Greens voters (73%) and those with university education (53%).

Those who think it is unlikely they are linked tended to be aged 55+ (61%), Liberal/National voters (63%) and those who had not completed secondary education (60%).

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