The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Jan, 2021

    ,

    Attitudes towards bushfires and climate change

    Q. Thinking about the bushfires in some parts of the country, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

    Jan’21 Jan’20 Nov’19 Oct’13
    It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 49% 44% 43% 27%
    It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change, but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 18% 19% 17% 14%
    It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 20% 26% 30% 48%
    Don’t know 12% 11% 11% 11%
    Base (n) 1,084 1,081 1,083 1,075
    •  Just under half (49%) of people think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue, the highest proportion in the last three years (up from 44% this time last year). Correspondingly, fewer think it is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change (20%, down from 26%).
    • About the same amount of people as previous years think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change, but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time (18%).
      Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
      Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
    It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 49% 49% 50% 49% 51% 48% 58% 42% 65% 42%
    It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change, but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 18% 20% 16% 26% 17% 12% 15% 20% 24% 17%
    It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 20% 21% 20% 10% 18% 32% 15% 28% 4% 32%
    Don’t know 12% 10% 14% 14% 14% 8% 11% 9% 7% 9%
    Base (n) 1,084 539 545 341 358 385 334 431 118 106
    •  About a third (32%) of those over 55 think it is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change, the highest among the three age brackets.
    • More people aged 18-34 think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change, but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time, than those aged 35-54 and those over 55 (26% to 17% and 12% respectively).
    • The view that it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue is high; this is highest among Greens voters (65%), followed by Labor voters (58%), Coalition voters (42%) and other voters (42%).
    • Minor and independent party voters and Coalition voters are the most likely to think it is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change (32% and 28% respectively).
  • Jan, 2020

    , , , , , , ,

    Climate Change Policy Proposals

    Q. To what extent would you support or oppose the following policy proposals if they were adopted by the Federal Government?

      NET: Support NET: Oppose Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose
    Accelerate development of new industries and jobs that are powered by renewable energy 81% 19% 41% 40% 12% 7%
    Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2050 71% 29% 32% 39% 18% 12%
    Requiring mining companies to fund bushfire hazard reduction 68% 32% 25% 43% 21% 11%
    Remove taxpayer funded subsidies to the fossil fuel industry 68% 32% 30% 38% 22% 11%
    Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2030 64% 36% 26% 38% 21% 15%
    Ban all political donations from fossil fuel companies 62% 38% 28% 34% 25% 13%
    Prevention of new coal mines opening in Australia 62% 38% 27% 35% 23% 16%

     

      Voting Intention
     NET: SUPPORT Total Labor Liberal + National Greens NET: Other
    Accelerate development of new industries and jobs that are powered by renewable energy 81% 86% 75% 87% 77%
    Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2050 71% 81% 56% 89% 62%
    Requiring mining companies to fund bushfire hazard reduction 68% 78% 54% 76% 68%
    Remove taxpayer funded subsidies to the fossil fuel industry 68% 77% 56% 83% 64%
    Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2030 64% 77% 47% 87% 52%
    Ban all political donations from fossil fuel companies 62% 72% 48% 79% 57%
    Prevention of new coal mines opening in Australia 62% 70% 48% 84% 51%
    Base (n) 1,080 351 342 110 156
    • 81% of participants support the accelerated development of new industries and jobs that are powered by renewable energy and 71% support a zero-carbon pollution target to be set for 2050.
    • Support for all policies was higher among Labor and greens voters, and lower among Coalition.
  • Jan, 2020

    , , ,

    Leadership during bushfires

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Scott Morrison/Gladys Berejiklian/Daniel Andrews’s handling of the bushfire crisis?

      NET: Approve NET: Disapprove Strongly approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
    Scott Morrison

    (Asked in all states, n=1,081)

    32% 57% 8% 24% 21% 36% 11%
    Gladys Berejiklian

    (Asked in NSW only, n=333)

    55% 22% 14% 43% 14% 9% 22%
    Daniel Andrews

    (Asked in VIC only, n=275)

    58% 20% 14% 44% 13% 7% 22%

     

    NET: APPROVE Total Federal Voting Intention
    Labor Coalition NET: Other
    Scott Morrison

    (Asked in all states,  n=1,081)

    32% 11% 64% 23%
    Gladys Berejiklian

    (Asked in NSW only, n=333)

    55% 54% 71% 40%
    Daniel Andrews

    (Asked in VIC only, n=333)

    58% 67% 63% 37%
    • Around a third (32%) of people approve of Scott Morrison’s handing of the current bushfires crisis, with just 8% strongly approving of his performance. 36% strongly disapprove of his performance.
    • Comparatively, state premiers Berejiklian and Andrews have performed well, with over half of people in each state approving of their handling of the crisis (55% in NSW and 58% in Victoria).
    • The majority of Scott Morrison’s approval is coming from within his own supporter base, with 64% of intended Coalition voters approving of his performance during the crisis. Just 11% of Labor voters and 23% of those voting for another party approve of his performance.
  • Jan, 2020

    Bushfires Statements

    Q. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about the current bushfire season in Australia?

      NET: Agree NET: Disagree Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Unsure
    The Prime Minister should have met with experts before the fire season to plan a coordinated response to the risk 79% 13% 57% 22% 9% 4% 8%
    The Federal Government was underprepared for the risk of bushfires this season 78% 14% 54% 24% 9% 5% 8%
    When there are emergencies, politicians should get out of the way and let the experts do their job 77% 7% 44% 34% 12% 4% 7%
    The Prime Minister is right to say Australia has always had bushfires like these 42% 52% 16% 25% 25% 27% 7%
    • 78% of people agree that the Federal Government was underprepared for the risk of bushfires this season.
    • Around half (52%) disagree with the Prime Minister that Australia has always had bushfires like these.
  • Nov, 2019

    , ,

    Climate change and bushfires

    Q. Thinking about the bushfires in Queensland and New South Wales, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

    Nov’19 Oct’13
    It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 43% 27%
    It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 17% 14%
    It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 30% 48%
    Don’t know 11% 11%
    Base (n) 1,083 1,075

     

      Total Gender Age Voting Intention
    Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
    It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 43% 39% 46% 54% 41% 35% 53% 31% 73% 30%
    It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 17% 22% 12% 22% 17% 13% 19% 20% 7% 13%
    It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 30% 29% 30% 15% 29% 43% 19% 40% 6% 50%
    Don’t know 11% 9% 12% 9% 13% 9% 9% 9% 13% 7%
    Base (n) 1,083 527 556 329 369 385 342 373 93 162
    •  43% now think It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue. When this question was last asked in 2013, 27% gave this answer.
    • The proportion of people who think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time has remained fairly constant. 17% saying this in 2019, and 14% in 2013.
    • Those least likely to think bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue are Coalition (31%) and other minor party and independent voters (31%).
  • Nov, 2014

    , ,

    Likelihood of extreme events

    Q. Do you think that, over the next few years, Australia will be more or less likely to experience severe bushfires and extreme weather events like floods and cyclones?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Total more likely

    63%

    72%

    49%

    86%

    65%

    Total less likely

    1%

    1%

    *

    2%

    3%

    A lot more likely

    33%

    41%

    19%

    61%

    31%

    A little more likely

    30%

    31%

    30%

    25%

    34%

    About the same

    33%

    26%

    47%

    11%

    29%

    A little less likely

    1%

    1%

    2%

    2%

    A lot less likely

    *

    *

    1%

    Don’t know

    4%

    1%

    4%

    1%

    4%

     

    63% think that sever bushfires and extreme weather events will be more likely over the next few years.

    86% of Greens voters and 63% of Labor voters think they will be more likely. However, 47% of Liberal/National voters think they will be neither more likely nor less likely.

    68% of women think they will be more likely compared to 56% of men.

  • Oct, 2013

    , , ,

    Climate change and bushfires

    Q. Thinking about the bushfires in New South Wales, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue

    27%

    41%

    13%

    64%

    22%

    It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this time

    14%

    14%

    15%

    9%

    9%

    It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change

    48%

    37%

    63%

    19%

    62%

    Don’t know

    11%

    8%

    9%

    7%

    7%

    41% think that the NSW bushfires are likely to be linked to climate change and 48% think it unlikely they are linked to climate change. 27% think they are linked and it is appropriate to raise this issue while 14% think they are linked but it is inappropriate to raise this issue at this time.

    Those most likely to think the bushfires and climate change are linked were aged under 35 (49%), Labor voters (55%), Greens voters (73%) and those with university education (53%).

    Those who think it is unlikely they are linked tended to be aged 55+ (61%), Liberal/National voters (63%) and those who had not completed secondary education (60%).

Error: