Carbon Tax

Nov 21, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s carbon pricing scheme which, from July 2012, will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 18 April 23 May 14 June 18 July 1 Aug 19 Sep 17 Oct Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 37% 39% 38% 66% 13% 86%
Total oppose 48% 49% 44% 49% 49% 51% 52% 53% 53% 26% 80% 11%
Strongly support 9% 13% 14% 13% 15% 15% 14% 14% 14% 28% 1% 48%
Support 26% 26% 27% 25% 24% 24% 23% 25% 24% 38% 12% 38%
Oppose 19% 15% 15% 19% 16% 19% 17% 17% 17% 11% 22% 5%
Strongly oppose 29% 34% 29% 30% 33% 32% 35% 36% 36% 15% 58% 6%
Don’t know 18% 12% 15% 13% 12% 10% 12% 9% 10% 9% 7% 2%

Views on the carbon pricing scheme have changed very little since June and there has been no significant change since the legislation was passed. 38% support the scheme (down 1% since October) and 53% oppose (no change).

The only demographic group to support the scheme were aged under 35’s – 45% support/40% oppose. Among those aged 55+, 37% support and 59% oppose.

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Carbon Tax

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 18 April 23 May 14 June 18 July 1 Aug 19 Sep 17 Oct Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 37% 39% 66% 15% 80%
Total oppose 48% 49% 44% 49% 49% 51% 52% 53% 24% 81% 16%
Strongly support 9% 13% 14% 13% 15% 15% 14% 14% 25% 2% 45%
Support 26% 26% 27% 25% 24% 24% 23% 25% 41% 13% 35%
Oppose 19% 15% 15% 19% 16% 19% 17% 17% 14% 19% 10%
Strongly oppose 29% 34% 29% 30% 33% 32% 35% 36% 10% 62% 6%
Don’t know 18% 12% 15% 13% 12% 10% 12% 9% 10% 4% 3%

Views on the carbon pricing scheme have changed very little since June. 39% support the scheme (up 2% since September) and 53% oppose (up 1%).

The only demographic group to support the scheme were aged under 35’s – 46% support/43% oppose. Among those aged 55+, 33% support and 63% oppose.

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Support for Carbon Pricing Scheme

Sep 19, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April 23 May 30 May 14 June 11 July 18 July 1 Aug Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 38% 38% 35% 39% 39% 37% 67% 13% 76%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 48% 49% 53% 49% 51% 52% 22% 80% 14%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 13% 11% 15% 15% 14% 31% 2% 34%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 24% 25% 24% 24% 24% 23% 36% 11% 42%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 19% 19% 19% 16% 19% 17% 13% 23% 8%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 29% 30% 34% 33% 32% 35% 9% 57% 6%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 15% 13% 12% 12% 10% 12% 12% 7% 10%

The majority of respondents are opposed to the Government’s carbon pricing scheme, with 52% either opposed or strongly opposed to its introduction.   Opposition to the scheme has moved up 1% since the last time the question was polled on 1 August 2011.   Total opposition has moved up by 4% since the Government announced the scheme six months ago, from 48% total oppose to 52% total opposed.

Total support for the scheme is 37%, down 2% from 39% since the last time the question was asked on 1 August 2011.  However, overall, support has risen by 2% in the six months since the Government’s announcement, from 35% to 37% total support.

Twelve per cent (12%) of respondents ‘don’t know’, up 2% from 1 August 2011, but down 6% since the announcement six months ago.

Those aged 18-24 years old are the most likely to support the scheme (46% total support).  Those aged 55-64% are the most likely to oppose it (59% total oppose).

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Support for Carbon Pricing Scheme with compensation and investment in renewables

Sep 19, 2011

Q. Would you support or oppose this carbon pricing scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners for increased prices and to invest in renewable energy?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 50% 77% 27% 84%
Total oppose 37% 12% 61% 9%
Strongly support 20% 41% 4% 40%
Support 30% 36% 23% 44%
Oppose 15% 8% 23% 4%
Strongly oppose 22% 4% 38% 5%
Don’t know 13% 10% 11% 7%

Total support for the carbon pricing scheme rose sharply by 13 points to 50% when respondents were asked whether they supported the scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners and to invest in renewable energy.

Conversely, total opposition for the scheme fell by 13% to 37% total opposed.

The reference to compensation and investment in renewables has the effect of shifting total support up by 10% amongst Labor voters (77%), up 14% amongst Lib/Nat voters and up 8% amongst Green voters.

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Support for Carbon Pricing

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April 23 May 30 May 14 June 11 July Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 38% 38% 35% 65% 15% 73%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 48% 49% 53% 20% 79% 21%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 13% 11% 23% 3% 35%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 24% 25% 24% 42% 12% 38%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 19% 19% 19% 15% 23% 16%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 29% 30% 34% 5% 56% 5%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 15% 13% 12% 16% 7% 7%

35% (down 3%) support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 53% (up 4%) oppose. It is supported by 65% of Labor voters and 73% of Greens voters but opposed by 79% of coalition voters.

By age, those aged under 35 split 40% support/43% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 33% support/59% oppose.

  • note that these result reflect opinions prior to the announcement of the details of carbon pricing.

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Opinion of Carbon Pricing Proposal

Apr 18, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 63% 21% 75%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 25% 72% 17%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 25% 4% 37%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 38% 17% 38%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 10% 18% 10%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 15% 54% 7%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 12% 7% 8%

Support for the Government’s carbon pricing scheme has recovered to similar levels recorded in mid-March.

Since this question was asked 3 weeks ago, support has increased to 39% (+5%) and opposition dropped to 49% (-2%).

Strongest support was shown by those aged under 35 (42%) and those on incomes over $1,600 pw (46%).

Those most strongly opposed were aged 55+ (58%).

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Opinion of Carbon Pricing Proposal with Compensation

Apr 18, 2011

Q. Would you support or oppose this carbon pricing scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices?

14 March Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 54% 51% 78% 34% 80%
Total oppose 30% 33% 11% 51% 7%
Strongly support 17% 17% 30% 8% 35%
Support 37% 34% 43% 25% 44%
Oppose 14% 12% 7% 18% 8%
Strongly oppose 16% 21% 6% 37% 5%
Don’t know 17% 16% 14% 13% 8%

With compensation for low and middle income earners and small businesses, support for the Government’s carbon pricing scheme increased to 51% and opposition dropped to 33%. This is a slight fall in support since this question was last asked in mid-March.

With compensation, support among Labor voters increases 15% to 78% and for Liberal/National voters increases 13% to 34%.

Support among men increased from 39% to 47% and for women increases from 38% to 55%.

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Support for Carbon Tax if Compensated

Mar 29, 2011

Q. If the Government compensated households by cutting income tax and increasing welfare payments, would you be more likely or less likely to support the proposed carbon tax?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total more likely 38% 58% 26% 49% 37% 40% 43% 38% 34%
Total less likely 16% 10% 23% 14% 20% 12% 16% 16% 15%
Much more likely 14% 26% 7% 20% 15% 14% 16% 15% 12%
Somewhat more likely 24% 32% 19% 29% 22% 25% 27% 23% 22%
Somewhat less likely 5% 6% 6% 4% 7% 3% 6% 6% 4%
Much less likely 11% 4% 17% 10% 13% 8% 10% 10% 11%
Makes no difference 35% 24% 46% 26% 35% 35% 26% 36% 46%
Don’t know 11% 8% 5% 11% 8% 13% 15% 10% 6%

38% of respondents agreed they would be more likely to support the proposed carbon tax if the Government compensated households by cutting income tax and increasing welfare payments, 16% said they would be less likely to support it and 35% said it would make no difference.

Those most likely to support the tax were Labor voters (58%), Greens voters (49%) and younger respondents (43% of people aged 18-34). 46% of Coalition voters and 46% of those aged 55+ said it would make no difference to their view.

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