Creating a Climate for Change on Carbon

Mar 12, 2012

It’s only months until a price on carbon takes affect so here are some clues from the polling to help Labor though the difficult times ahead.


Support for Carbon Pricing

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April 23 May 30 May 14 June 11 July Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 38% 38% 35% 65% 15% 73%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 48% 49% 53% 20% 79% 21%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 13% 11% 23% 3% 35%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 24% 25% 24% 42% 12% 38%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 19% 19% 19% 15% 23% 16%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 29% 30% 34% 5% 56% 5%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 15% 13% 12% 16% 7% 7%

35% (down 3%) support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 53% (up 4%) oppose. It is supported by 65% of Labor voters and 73% of Greens voters but opposed by 79% of coalition voters.

By age, those aged under 35 split 40% support/43% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 33% support/59% oppose.

  • note that these result reflect opinions prior to the announcement of the details of carbon pricing.

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Support for Carbon Pricing

Jun 14, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April 23 May 30 May Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 38% 38% 60% 19% 68%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 48% 49% 28% 72% 18%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 13% 24% 3% 35%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 24% 25% 36% 16% 33%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 19% 19% 17% 20% 10%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 29% 30% 11% 52% 8%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 15% 13% 12% 9% 13%

38% support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 49% oppose – no significant change since the question was asked in May. It is supported by 60% of Labor voters and 68% of Greens voters but opposed by 72% of coalition voters.

By age, those aged under 35 split 46% support/39% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 31% support/62% oppose.

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Support for Carbon Pricing

May 30, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April 23 May 30 May Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 38% 62% 17% 62%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 48% 22% 73% 23%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 26% 4% 29%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 24% 36% 13% 33%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 19% 13% 23% 17%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 29% 9% 50% 6%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 15% 16% 11% 14%

38% support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 48% oppose. Although a change from last week’s figures this is much the same as recorded in the April poll. It is supported by 62% of Labor and Greens voters but opposed by 73% of coalition voters.

By age, those aged under 35 split 44% support/35% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 33% support/58% oppose.

For those who believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 60% support and 24% oppose. For those who believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 13% support and 80% oppose

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Support for Carbon Pricing

May 23, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 63% 20% 86%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 19% 75% 9%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 22% 4% 47%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 41% 16% 39%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 10% 23% 4%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 9% 52% 5%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 19% 5% 5%

41% (+2%) support the introduction of a carbon pricing scheme and 44% (-5%) oppose. This represents a 7% shift in opinion in favour of a carbon pricing scheme since last month and is the highest level of support and lowest level of opposition since the scheme was announced.

Women support the scheme 44%/39%, while men oppose 51%/38%. Younger people tend to support the scheme (aged under 35 – 47% support/35% oppose) while older respondents strongly oppose (aged 55+ – 35% support/55% oppose)

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Carbon Pricing

Mar 29, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 63% 14% 56%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 23% 80% 24%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 22% 4% 29%
Support 26% 26% 22% 41% 10% 27%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 12% 24% 13%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 11% 56% 11%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 14% 7% 19%

Support for the Government’s carbon pricing scheme has fallen over the last 2 weeks. 34% now support the scheme and 51% are opposed.

Opinion has polarized among voters for the major parties. Support among Labor voters has increased from 55% to 63% while opposition from Coalition voters has increased from 73% to 80%.  Support has fallen among Greens voters – 2 weeks ago they split 78% support/11% oppose compared to this week’s 56% support/24% oppose.

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Carbon Pricing

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

Last week This week Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 55% 20% 78%
Total oppose 48% 49% 32% 73% 11%
Strongly support 9% 12% 17% 4% 39%
Support 26% 26% 38% 16% 39%
Oppose 19% 17% 17% 20% 6%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 15% 53% 5%
Don’t know 18% 13% 13% 8% 11%

Support for the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme has increased a little since this question was asked last week – from 35% to 38%. The change is due to some previously “undecided” respondents forming a view – opposition has increased 1% and “don’t know” decreased by 5%.

There is majority support from Labor and Greens voters while 73% of Liberal/National voters are opposed.

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Carbon Pricing with Compensation

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Would you support or oppose this carbon pricing scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 54% 78% 34% 80%
Total oppose 30% 11% 51% 7%
Strongly support 17% 29% 6% 39%
Support 37% 49% 28% 41%
Oppose 14% 8% 22% 3%
Strongly oppose 16% 3% 29% 4%
Don’t know 17% 11% 15% 13%

There was a substantial shift in opinion of the Government’s carbon pricing scheme when respondents were told that the money paid by big polluting industries would be used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices.

Support increased from 38% to 54% and opposition declined from 49% to 30%. The major shift occurred with Labor voters where support increased by 23% to 78%.  Support from Liberal/National voters increased from 20% to 34% while opposition declined 22% to 51%.

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