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  • May, 2012

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    The Australian Economy

    Q. Thinking about the state of the world economy, how do you think the Australian economy has performed over the last few years compared to other countries?

     

    15 Aug 11

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total better

    70%

    66%

    80%

    60%

    73%

    Total worse

    10%

    15%

    8%

    19%

    10%

    A lot better

    31%

    29%

    49%

    19%

    38%

    A little better

    39%

    37%

    31%

    41%

    35%

    About the same

    16%

    16%

    12%

    20%

    17%

    A little worse

    7%

    9%

    6%

    10%

    8%

    A lot worse

    3%

    6%

    2%

    9%

    2%

    Don’t know

    3%

    3%

    1%

    1%

    1%

    66% think that Australia’s economy has performed better than other countries over the last few years, 16% say about the same and 15% think it has been worse. This represents a shift from net +60 to net +51 since this question was previous asked in August last year.

    There were no substantial differences across demographic groups although those on higher incomes are a little more likely to believe it has performed better – 71% of those on incomes over $1,600pw compared to 61% of those earning under $1,000pw.

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  • Apr, 2012

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    Measures to Return to Surplus

    Q. In order to meet their commitment to return to surplus in 2012-13, which measures should the Government take?

    Total

    11/4/11

    Total 10/4/12

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Increase taxes for big corporations

    63%

    67%

    81%

    55%

    80%

    Reduce tax breaks for high income earners

    51%

    57%

    65%

    52%

    71%

    Postpone major infrastructure projects like the NBN

    na

    41%

    29%

    58%

    19%

    Reduce defence spending

    32%

    38%

    42%

    30%

    64%

    Cut “middle class welfare” such as the Baby Bonus, first home buyers grant and Family Tax Benefit payments

    36%

    36%

    37%

    38%

    36%

    Cut spending on unemployment and disability benefits

    21%

    23%

    18%

    32%

    12%

    It does not need to return to surplus so quickly

    38%

    63%

    67%

    66%

    58%

    Overall, the most favoured means of returning the budget to surplus were increasing taxes for big corporations (67%) and reducing tax breaks for high-income earners (57%). Both these measures were strongly favoured by Labor and Greens voters.

    Although support was less strong, these two measures were also two of the three the most preferred among Liberal/National voters – 58% think the Government should postpone major infrastructure projects like the NBN.

    The main changes since this question was asked 12 months ago are increases in support for reducing tax breaks for high-income earners (up 6%) and reducing defence spending (up 6%).

    Note, although 63% thought that the budget does not need to return to surplus so quickly, some of these respondents also agreed with some of the measures listed.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    The Economy – Heading in the Right/Wrong Direction

    Q. Overall, from what you have read and heard, do you think the Australian economy is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

     

    17 May 10

    (Post 2010 budget)

    9 May 11

    (Post 2011 budget)

    4 Jul 11

    26 Mar 12

    Vote Labor

    Vote Liberal/ National

    Vote Greens

    The right direction

    51%

    45%

    37%

    36%

    65%

    19%

    47%

    The wrong direction

    25%

    29%

    43%

    41%

    15%

    64%

    23%

    Don’t know

    24%

    25%

    20%

    22%

    21%

    17%

    30%

    36% of respondents think that Australia’s economy is heading in the right direction – 41% think it is heading in the wrong direction. Opinions have changed little since this question was asked in July last year – “right direction” has dropped 1% and “wrong direction” dropped 2%.

    65% of Labor voters, 19% of Liberal/National voters and 47% of Greens voters think the economy is heading in the right direction.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Party Best at Handling Economy

    Q. Which party do you think would be best at handling the Australian economy in the interests of you and people like you?

     

    4 Jul 11

    26 Mar 12

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    The Labor Party

    26%

    29%

    76%

    1%

    39%

    The Liberal Party

    43%

    41%

    2%

    89%

    7%

    No difference

    23%

    20%

    14%

    7%

    45%

    Don’t know

    8%

    10%

    7%

    4%

    9%

     

    41% (down 2% since July last year) think the Liberal Party would be best at handling the Australian economy in their interests and 29% (up 3%) nominated the Labor Party. 20% think there is no difference.

    There were significant differences by income – those earning under $600pw split 38% Labor/30% Liberal while those earning over $1,600pw favoured the Liberal Party 49% to 23% Labor.

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2012

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    The Economy

    Q. Over the next 12 months do you think economic conditions in Australia will get better, get worse or stay much the same?  

     

     

    1 Dec

    08

    15 Jun 09

    5 Oct

    09

    28 Jun

    10

    18 Oct

    10

    4 April

    11

    4 Jul

    11

    3 Oct

    11

    26 Mar 12

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total better

    21%

    43%

    66%

    33%

    40%

    27%

    22%

    16%

    25%

    42%

    17%

    26%

    Total worse

    61%

    37%

    15%

    31%

    30%

    37%

    49%

    58%

    46%

    29%

    60%

    37%

    Get a lot better

    2%

    5%

    8%

    5%

    6%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    3%

    5%

    2%

    1%

    Get a little better

    19%

    38%

    58%

    28%

    34%

    23%

    19%

    14%

    22%

    37%

    15%

    25%

    Get a little worse

    45%

    28%

    11%

    23%

    20%

    27%

    31%

    41%

    31%

    25%

    36%

    34%

    Get a lot worse

    16%

    9%

    4%

    8%

    10%

    10%

    18%

    17%

    15%

    4%

    24%

    3%

    Stay much the same

    13%

    17%

    15%

    30%

    24%

    27%

    25%

    22%

    21%

    24%

    19%

    26%

    No opinion

    5%

    3%

    4%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    4%

    4%

    7%

    4%

    4%

    12%

    Confidence in the economic outlook has strengthened with the percentage of respondents believing conditions to be getting better increasing 9 points to 25%, from 16% in October last year.  Those believing that economic conditions will get worse over the next 12 months has fallen 12 points from 58% to 46%.

    Labor voters are optimistic overall – 42% better/29% worse.  Coalition voters are the most pessimistic, with 60% believing that thing will get worse over the next 12 months and only 17% better.

    There was little difference across income groups.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Personal financial situation

    Q, Over the next 12 months do you think your personal financial situation will get better, get worse or stay much the same? 

     

    28 Jun

    10

    18 Oct

    10

    4 April

    11

    4 Jul

    11

    3 Oct

    11

    26 Mar 12

    Vote

    Labor

    Vote

    Lib/Nat

    Vote

    Greens

    Total better

    29%

    33%

    32%

    28%

    24%

    28%

    34%

    25%

    36%

    Total worse

    31%

    29%

    31%

    36%

    41%

    37%

    29%

    42%

    34%

    Get a lot better

    5%

    6%

    7%

    5%

    4%

    5%

    5%

    4%

    14%

    Get a little better

    24%

    27%

    25%

    23%

    20%

    23%

    29%

    21%

    22%

    Get a little worse

    21%

    21%

    22%

    23%

    27%

    27%

    22%

    30%

    27%

    Get a lot worse

    10%

    8%

    9%

    13%

    14%

    10%

    7%

    12%

    7%

    Stay much the same

    37%

    32%

    32%

    32%

    32%

    29%

    32%

    31%

    25%

    No opinion

    4%

    5%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    5%

    5%

    2%

    5%

    28% (up 4% since October last year) of respondents believe that their personal financial situation will get better in the next 12 months and 37% worse (down 4%). 29% (down 3%) expect it to stay much the same. However, these results are very similar to those of July 2011.

    Greens voters (36% better) and Labor voters (34%) are the most likely to believe that their personal financial situation will get better over the next 12 months, whereas Coalition voters are the most likely to believe that theirs will get worse (42%).

    People on lower incomes were more pessimistic about their personal financial outlook – those earning under $600 per week split 22% better/49% worse – compared to those earning more than $1,600pw who split 36%better/30% worse.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Impact of Dollar on Industry

    Q. The Australian dollar is now at $1.05 US and has been historically higher than the normal range of 60c-80c US. Is the high Australian dollar good or bad for the following industries?

     

    Total good

    Total bad

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    Mining industry

    29%

    29%

    10%

    19%

    20%

    24%

    5%

    22%

    Farming & Grazing Industry

    16%

    49%

    4%

    12%

    16%

    36%

    13%

    19%

    Finance Industry

    38%

    15%

    9%

    29%

    25%

    12%

    3%

    21%

    Construction Industry

    24%

    26%

    4%

    20%

    28%

    22%

    4%

    23%

    Manufacturing industry

    15%

    50%

    3%

    12%

    14%

    29%

    21%

    20%

    Retail Industry

    23%

    47%

    6%

    17%

    14%

    30%

    17%

    16%

    Australian Tourism Industry

    20%

    56%

    8%

    12%

    10%

    31%

    25%

    14%

    Overall, respondents think that the high Australian dollar has only been good for the finance industry (38% good/15% bad).

    They believe that it has been particularly bad for the tourism industry (20% good/56% bad), the manufacturing industry (15%/50%), the farming and grazing industry (16%/49%) and the retail industry (23%/47%)

    On the mining industry, they were split 29% good/29% bad.

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2012

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    Impact of Mining Boom and Dollar

    Q. Has the mining boom and the high dollar been good or bad for –

     

    Total good

    Total bad

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    The economy generally

    52%

    12%

    11%

    41%

    22%

    10%

    2%

    15%

    Jobs generally

    42%

    18%

    8%

    34%

    26%

    15%

    3%

    14%

    You personally

    23%

    10%

    5%

    18%

    55%

    8%

    2%

    10%

    A majority (52%) think that the mining boom and the high dollar has been good for the economy and are more likely to think it has been good for jobs (42% good/18% bad).

    61% of Labor voters, 53% of Greens voters and 51% of Coalition voters think it has been good for the economy.

    55% think it has been neither good nor bad for them personally. For those on incomes over $1,600pw, 32% think it has been good for them personally and 9% bad.

    Comments »

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