Better or worse Government

Sep 16, 2013

Q. After the election the Coalition Government will not have a majority in the Senate – they will need the support of the minor parties and independents to pass legislation. Do you think this will result in a better or worse Government for Australia?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Other party/ Independent

Total better

44%

53%

32%

62%

59%

Total worse

30%

24%

44%

20%

11%

A lot better

18%

25%

9%

26%

33%

A little better

26%

28%

23%

36%

26%

A little worse

16%

10%

24%

14%

6%

A lot worse

14%

14%

20%

6%

5%

Make no difference

10%

10%

8%

8%

18%

Don’t know

16%

13%

16%

9%

12%

44% think that better Government will result from the Coalition needing the support of minor parties and independents in the Senate while 30% think it will result in worse Government.

A majority of Labor, Greens and other voters think it will result in better Government while 44% of Liberal/National voters think it will result in worse Government.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 5, 2013

Q. The Federal Election will be held next weekend on 7 September  – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

The table below shows weekly figures through the election campaign.

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

5/8/13

13/8/13

19/8/13

26/8/13

2/9/13

5/9/13

 

 

Liberal National

43.6%

43%

44%

43%

43%

44%

43%

Labor

38.0%

37%

41%

39%

36%

35%

35%

Greens

11.8%

10%

7%

9%

11%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

11%

9%

8%

10%

11%

12%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

5/8/13

13/8/13

19/8/13

26/8/13

2/9/13

5/9/13

Liberal National

49.9%

51%

50%

50%

51%

53%

52%

Labor

50.1%

49%

50%

50%

49%

47%

48%

Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Opinion of Kevin Rudd

Sep 5, 2013

Q. Since the election was called has your opinion of Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party gone up or down?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total gone up

16%

33%

6%

9%

Total gone down

40%

12%

65%

42%

Gone up a lot

7%

16%

2%

6%

Gone up a little

9%

17%

4%

3%

Stayed the same

38%

53%

26%

47%

Gone down a little

14%

9%

16%

25%

Gone down a lot

26%

3%

49%

17%

Don’t know

5%

2%

3%

2%

16% say their opinion of Kevin Rudd has gone up since the election was called and 40% say it has gone down. Views follow party preferences with 65% of Liberal/national voters saying their opinion of Kevin Rudd had gone down and 33% of Labor voters saying their opinion had gone up. Greens voters opinions were more likely to have gone down.

Weekly voting intention

Sep 2, 2013

The following tables show the weekly voting intention since the election was called.

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

5/8/13

3 weeks ago

13/8/13

2 weeks ago

19/8/13

Last week

26/8/13

This week

2/9/13

Sample

 

973

926

976

938

918

 

Liberal National

43.6%

43%

44%

43%

43%

44%

Labor

38.0%

37%

41%

39%

36%

35%

Greens

11.8%

10%

7%

9%

11%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

11%

9%

8%

10%

11%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

5/8/13

3 weeks ago

13/8/13

2 weeks ago

19/8/13

Last week

26/8/13

This week

2/9/13

Liberal National

49.9%

51%

50%

50%

51%

53%

Labor

50.1%

49%

50%

50%

49%

47%

 

Voting decision

Aug 5, 2013

Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held this year, when do you expect you will make your final decision about who you will vote for?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Other party

Don’t know

I have already decided

53%

55%

69%

36%

29%

8%

During the election campaign

15%

19%

12%

24%

18%

6%

In the last week before the election

12%

11%

9%

15%

25%

7%

The day before the election

3%

4%

2%

9%

1%

2%

On the day of the election

8%

7%

4%

9%

20%

18%

Don’t know

9%

5%

4%

8%

7%

60%

53% say they have already decided who they will be voting for in the Federal election, 30% will finally make up their mind at some stage before election day and 8% will decide on election day.

Those least likely to have made up their mind were aged 18-24 (33%), Greens voters (36%), other party/independent voters (29%) and respondents with university education (48%).

Involvement in politics

Jul 15, 2013

Q. Thinking about Federal politics and the election, which of the following have you personally done in the last week?

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Seen any TV advertising by political parties

43%

46%

44%

38%

Received printed material from candidates.

27%

26%

27%

35%

Read about Federal politics in a newspaper

41%

43%

43%

39%

Watched Federal politicians on TV

56%

63%

54%

57%

Listened to Federal politicians on the radio

22%

21%

22%

32%

Listened to commentators talking about Federal politics on the radio

30%

32%

29%

34%

Watched commentators talking about Federal politics on the TV

48%

54%

47%

47%

Read anything about Federal politics on the internet

39%

47%

33%

49%

Discussed Federal politics and the election with friends or family

50%

56%

46%

60%

TV was the most common way for respondents to engage with politics over the past week. 56% said they had watched Federal politicians on TV and 48% had watched commentators talking about Federal politics on TV.

Labor voters were more likely to watch politicians (63%) or commentators (54%) on TV and also more likely to use the internet to read about politics (47%).

There were some substantial differences by age group – 30% of respondents aged under 35 read about politics in a newspaper compared to 57% of those aged 55+ and 42% of aged under 35 watched politicians on TV compared to 71% of aged 55+.

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