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  • Mar, 2011

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    Early Election over Carbon Tax

    Q. Do you think the Government should call an early election over the carbon tax?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Yes 40% 16% 67% 17%
    No 44% 72% 20% 69%
    Don’t know 17% 11% 13% 13%

    40% think that the Government should call an early election over the carbon tax and 44% think they should not. 67% of Coalition voters favour an early election while 72% of Labor voters and 69% of Greens voters do not.

    Men favour an early election 47%/41% while women oppose 46%/33%.

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  • Mar, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,947

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 40% 44% 45% 44%
    National 3% 3% 2% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 43% 47% 47% 46%
    Labor 38.0 39% 36% 35% 36%
    Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 8% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 49% 53% 54% 53%
    Labor 50.1% 51% 47% 46% 47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Mar, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,884

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 41% 42% 44% 45%
    National 3% 3% 3% 2%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 44% 45% 47% 47%
    Labor 38.0 40% 37% 36% 35%
    Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 50% 52% 53% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 50% 48% 47% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Mar, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,918

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 43% 40% 42% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 43% 45% 47%
    Labor 38.0 38% 39% 37% 36%
    Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 49% 52% 53%
    Labor 50.1% 49% 51% 48% 47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size =1,964

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 42% 41% 40% 42%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 44% 43% 45%
    Labor 38.0 37% 40% 39% 37%
    Greens 11.8 11% 10% 11% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 6% 7% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 50% 49% 52%
    Labor 50.1% 49% 50% 51% 48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,913

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 42% 43% 41% 40%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 46% 44% 43%
    Labor 38.0 37% 38% 40% 39%
    Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 6% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 51% 50% 49%
    Labor 50.1% 49% 49% 50% 51%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2011

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    NSW State Voting Intention

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    First preference/leaning to

    (sample)

    Jan/Feb 2011

    (1,247)

    Sept/Oct 10

    (1,953)

    Election

    Mar 07

    Change
    Liberal/National 51% 50% 37.0% +14.0%
    Labor 27% 29% 39.0% -12.0%
    Greens 12% 11% 9.0% +3.0%
    Other/Independent 11% 10% 15.0% -4.0%
    2PP Jan/Feb 2011 Sept/Oct 10 Election

    Mar 07

    Change
    Liberal/National 59% 58% 47.7% +11.3%
    Labor 41% 42% 52.3% -11.3%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 4-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.

  • Feb, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,906

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 43% 42% 43% 41%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45% 46% 44%
    Labor 38.0 38% 37% 38% 40%
    Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 6%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51% 51% 50%
    Labor 50.1% 48% 49% 49% 50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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