NSW State Voting Intention

Mar 18, 2011

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference /leaning to Total Men Women Sydney Other NSW Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Sample 967 483 484 615 352 300 396 271
Labor 24% 24% 23% 21% 27% 25% 23% 23%
Liberal/National 54% 54% 53% 57% 47% 50% 53% 58%
Greens 12% 12% 13% 12% 13% 15% 13% 9%
Independent/Other 11% 10% 11% 9% 13% 10% 11% 11%
2PP
Labor 35% 35% 35% 31% 41% 38% 35% 32%
Liberal/National 65% 65% 65% 69% 59% 62% 65% 68%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.

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Rabbitohs Stars Tackle Booze-Fuelled Violence

Mar 17, 2011

Alcohol and sport have had a long, intimate and often uncomfortable relationship.

To their enormous credit, however, the  South Sydney Rabbitohs enthusiastically accepted our invitation to become involved in the Last Drinks campaign, and already their involvement is helping the campaign to reach an important new audience.

The Last Drinks campaign is a joint project backed by the Police Association of NSW, the Australian Medical Association (NSW), the Health Services Union and the NSW Nurses’ Association.

It’s purpose is to reduce the amount of alcohol-fuelled violence in the community – and in the process to make life safer for the front-line police officers, doctors, nurses and paramedics who deal with it every weekend.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 14, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,884

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 41% 42% 44% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 44% 45% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0 40% 37% 36% 35%
Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 50% 52% 53% 54%
Labor 50.1% 50% 48% 47% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May

2010

5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51% 48% 41%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36% 41% 46%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8% 9% 7%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43% 39% 34%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24% 25% 22%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12% 16% 24%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14% 11% 13%

41% (down 7%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 46% (up 5%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +7 to -5 over the last 4 weeks.

87% of Labor voters approve and 7% disapprove.

By gender – men 41% approve/49% disapprove, women 42% approve/43% disapprove.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 41% 43% 39% 40% 39% 42% 38% 38%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 44% 37% 45% 40% 39% 37% 46% 47%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6% 9% 7% 8% 7%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 32% 31% 31% 34% 30% 35% 30% 31%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 22% 21% 22% 22% 21% 22% 24% 24%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 22% 16% 23% 18% 18% 15% 22% 23%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 15% 19% 17% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16%

38% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 47% (up 1%) disapprove.

70% of Coalition voters approve and 17% disapprove.

By gender – men 41% approve/45% disapprove, women 33% approve/49% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011 14 Mar 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 45% 47% 48% 44% 88% 8% 73% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 35% 34% 32% 31% 33% 3% 70% 4% 30%
Don’t know 21% 18% 21% 21% 20% 23% 9% 22% 22% 23%

44% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 6% on last month’s figures (from +17% to +11%).

Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 42%/37% and women 46%/29%.

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Same Sex Marriage

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

15 Nov 2010 14 Mar 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should be allowed to marry 53% 49% 54% 40% 78%
Should not be allowed to marry 36% 40% 36% 50% 16%
Don’t know 11% 10% 10% 10% 6%

Support for same-sex marriage has declined a little since this question was last asked in November. 49% (down 4%) agree people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 40% (up 4%) disagree.

By gender – 43% of men support same sex marriage and 47% oppose, while 56% of women support and 34% oppose.

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Territory Rights

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you agree or disagree that ACT and the Northern Territory should have the same rights as the states to pass legislation without being over-ruled by a Federal Minister?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total agree 74% 80% 73% 74%
Total disagree 9% 8% 11% 8%
Strongly agree 29% 36% 24% 41%
Agree 45% 44% 49% 33%
Disagree 6% 5% 7% 8%
Strongly disagree 3% 3% 4%
Don’t know 17% 12% 16% 18%

There is strong majority support for the right of territories to pass legislation without being over-ruled by a Federal Minister.  74% agree and only 9% disagree.

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