Interest in Federal Budget

May 9, 2011

Q. Thinking about the Federal Budget to be announced next week  – how interested are you in reading and hearing about the Federal Budget?

2010 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Very interested 30% 38% 41% 44% 32%
Somewhat interested 37% 29% 32% 29% 30%
A little interested 22% 21% 19% 20% 28%
Not at all interested 8% 8% 5% 6% 9%
Can’t say 4% 3% 2% *

67% of respondents say they are very or somewhat interested in reading and hearing about the Federal Budget – the same as recorded prior to the 2010 budget. However, those who say they are “very interested” has increased from 30% to 38%.

73% of both Labor and Liberal/National voters say they are interested.

Younger people are less interested – 60% of those under 35 are interested compared to 78% of those aged 55+.

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The Economy – Heading in the Right/Wrong Direction

May 9, 2011

Q. Overall, from what you have read and heard, do you think the Australian economy is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

17 May 10

(Post 2010 budget)

Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal/ National Vote Greens
The right direction 51% 45% 75% 27% 51%
The wrong direction 25% 29% 7% 51% 17%
Don’t know 24% 25% 17% 22% 33%

45% of respondents think that Australia’s economy is heading in the right direction – 29% think it is heading in the wrong direction. Since this question was asked just after the 2010 budget, “right direction” has dropped 6% and “wrong direction” increased 4%.

75% of Labor voters, 27% of Liberal/National voters and 51% of Greens voters think the economy is heading in the right direction.

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Osama bin Laden

May 9, 2011

Q. Do you think the death of Osama bin Laden will make the world a safer or less safe place or will it make no difference?

Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal/ National Vote Greens
Make the world safer 12% 16% 12% 8%
Make the world less safe 19% 17% 20% 28%
Make no difference 63% 60% 65% 59%
Don’t know 6% 7% 2% 5%

The majority (63%) of respondents think that the death of Osama bin Laden will make no difference to making the world safer or less safe. 12% think it will make the world safer and 19% think it will make the world less safe.

28% of Greens voters and 23% of those aged 55+ think it will make the world less safe.

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Osama bin Laden

May 9, 2011

Q. Do you think the death of Osama bin Laden will result in less terrorism or more terrorism or will it make no difference?

Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal/ National Vote Greens
Result in more terrorism 37% 32% 40% 40%
Result in less terrorism 7% 8% 7% 9%
Make no difference 48% 51% 48% 45%
Don’t know 8% 9% 5% 6%

About half (48%) think that the death of Osama bin Laden will make no difference to terrorism. However, 37% think it will result in more terrorism and only 7% think it will result in less terrorism. Views are broadly similar across demographic groups.

Greens and Liberal/National voters (40%) are a little more likely to think it will result in more terrorism than Labor voters (32%).

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Troops in Afghanistan

May 9, 2011

Q.  Thinking about the Australian troops in Afghanistan, do you think Australia should –

25 Oct 10 21 Mar 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Increase the number of troops in Afghanistan 10% 5% 6% 4% 8% 1%
Keep the same number of troops in Afghanistan 30% 30% 36% 37% 43% 25%
Withdraw our troops from Afghanistan 47% 56% 48% 49% 41% 65%
Don’t know 14% 9% 11% 10% 8% 9%

42% think that the Australian troops in Afghanistan should be increased or maintained and 48% think Australia should withdraw its troops. This is a significant drop (-8%) in support for withdrawal since this question was last asked in March.

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Prince William as Head of State

May 2, 2011

Q. Under the current arrangements, Prince William will be Australia’s Head of State when he becomes King. Would you approve or disapprove of Prince William as Australia’s Head of State?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total approve 60% 58% 68% 38% 56% 64% 56% 60% 65%
Total disapprove 23% 26% 19% 49% 27% 19% 21% 25% 23%
Strong approve 15% 12% 20% 6% 13% 18% 16% 13% 19%
Approve 45% 46% 48% 32% 43% 46% 40% 47% 46%
Disapprove 13% 13% 13% 30% 13% 14% 14% 14% 12%
Strongly disapprove 10% 13% 6% 19% 14% 5% 7% 11% 11%
Don’t know 17% 16% 13% 13% 18% 17% 24% 15% 12%

60% approve of Prince William becoming Australia’s head of state and 23% disapprove.

Those most likely to approve are Liberal/National voters (68%), women (64%) and aged 55+ (65%).

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Federal politics – voting intention

May 2, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size =1,857

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 43% 43% 44%
National 3% 3% 4% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 47% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0 36% 35% 35% 35%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 9%
Other/Independent 6.6 8% 8% 8% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 53% 54% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 47% 46% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Interest in Federal Politics

May 2, 2011

Q. When it comes to following Federal politics, which best describes you?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
I follow it closely 10% 12% 13% 8% 7% 10% 17%
I follow it enough to know what’s happening 45% 46% 49% 45% 30% 49% 57%
I follow it when something big is happening 18% 19% 20% 24% 27% 14% 15%
I only pay attention when there’s an election 8% 7% 9% 6% 13% 8% 3%
I have no interest in politics 14% 14% 8% 15% 17% 16% 6%
Can’t say 4% 2% 1% 2% 6% 4% 2%

55% say they follow Federal politics closely or enough to know what’s happening, 26% follow it only at elections or when something big is happening and 14% have no interest in politics.

Older respondents tended to follow Federal politics more closely than younger respondents – 74% of those aged 55+ follow it closely or enough to know what’s happening compared to only 37% of those aged 18-34. Greens voters (53%) were a little less likely to follow politics than Labor (58%) or Liberal/National voters (62%).

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