Opinion of Carbon Pricing Proposal with Compensation

Apr 18, 2011

Q. Would you support or oppose this carbon pricing scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices?

14 March Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 54% 51% 78% 34% 80%
Total oppose 30% 33% 11% 51% 7%
Strongly support 17% 17% 30% 8% 35%
Support 37% 34% 43% 25% 44%
Oppose 14% 12% 7% 18% 8%
Strongly oppose 16% 21% 6% 37% 5%
Don’t know 17% 16% 14% 13% 8%

With compensation for low and middle income earners and small businesses, support for the Government’s carbon pricing scheme increased to 51% and opposition dropped to 33%. This is a slight fall in support since this question was last asked in mid-March.

With compensation, support among Labor voters increases 15% to 78% and for Liberal/National voters increases 13% to 34%.

Support among men increased from 39% to 47% and for women increases from 38% to 55%.

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Opinion of NBN

Apr 18, 2011

Q. From what you’ve heard, do you favour or oppose the planned national broadband network (NBN)?

27 Sep 2010 14 Feb 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total favour 56% 48% 54% 76% 36% 81%
Total oppose 18% 31% 28% 8% 49% 8%
Strongly favour 27% 19% 22% 40% 8% 43%
Favour 29% 29% 32% 36% 28% 38%
Oppose 12% 16% 13% 6% 19% 3%
Strongly oppose 6% 15% 15% 2% 30% 5%
Don’t know 26% 22% 18% 15% 14% 12%

Support for the NBN has increased a little since this question was last asked in February.

54% (+6%) favour the NBN and 28% (-3%) oppose it. There is overwhelming majority support from Labor and Greens voters but Liberal/National voters were split 36% favour and 49% oppose.

By age group, those aged under 35 were 55% favour/26% oppose and those aged 55+ were 49% favour/34% oppose.

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Green-baiting and the art of product differentiation

Apr 12, 2011

First published on The Drum: 12/04/2011

The Prime Minister has been dedicating a significant slice of stump time in recent weeks to explaining the differences between the ALP and the Greens, how one emerges from real-world struggles and the other is a group of out-of-touch extremists.

A similar debate has been being waged within the Greens following their underwhelming NSW state election performance, where a local candidate’s intervention in the Middle East peace provided the platform to portray the party as a collective of bat-faced ideologues.

But as the debate about the Greens’ orientation gains pertinence as they move to assume the balance of power in the Senate a more basic fact is being missed: Labor voters and Green voters agree on just about everything.

A review of findings to Essential Research questions over the past few months finds that on nearly every big debate the similarities between Greens voters and Labor voters far outweigh their differences.

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Opinion of the Greens

Apr 11, 2011

Do you agree or disagree that – the Greens are an extreme political party that does not share the values of average Australians? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total agree 52% 44% 74% 7% 60% 44% 41% 51% 65%
Total disagree 30% 41% 14% 87% 30% 30% 34% 31% 24%
Strongly agree 23% 12% 39% 29% 17% 16% 21% 34%
Agree 29% 32% 35% 7% 31% 27% 25% 31% 31%
Disagree 21% 32% 13% 29% 22% 20% 21% 23% 18%
Strongly disagree 9% 7% 1% 58% 8% 10% 13% 8% 6%
Don’t know 18% 17% 12% 7% 9% 27% 25% 18% 11%

Just over half the respondents (52%) agreed that the Greens are an extreme political party that does not share the values of average Australians and 30% disagree.

Those most likely to agree were Liberal/National voters (74%), men (60%) and those aged 65+ (65%). Labor voters were split with 44% agree and 41% disagree.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 11, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size =1,925

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 45% 43% 43% 43%
National 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 47% 46% 46% 46%
Labor 38.0 35% 37% 36% 35%
Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 8% 7% 8% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 52% 53% 53%
Labor 50.1% 46% 48% 47% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Apr 11, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May

2010

5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13%

37% (down 4%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 50% (up 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -5 to -13 over the last 4 weeks.

78% of Labor voters approve (down 9%) and 12% disapprove (up 5%).

By gender – men 37% approve/53% disapprove, women 36% approve/47% disapprove.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Apr 11, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 41% 43% 39% 40% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 44% 37% 45% 40% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 32% 31% 31% 34% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 22% 21% 22% 22% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 22% 16% 23% 18% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 15% 19% 17% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17%

36% (down 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 48% (up 1%) disapprove.

69% of Coalition voters approve and 17% disapprove.

By gender – men 40% approve/46% disapprove, women 31% approve/48% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Apr 11, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011 14 Mar 2011 11 Apr 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 45% 47% 48% 44% 42% 86% 8% 75% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 35% 34% 32% 31% 33% 33% 2% 72% 5% 30%
Don’t know 21% 18% 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 12% 20% 20% 23%

42% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 2% on last month’s figures (from +11% to +9%).

Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 42%/38% and women 42%/29%.

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