Likelihood of extreme events

Nov 4, 2014

Q. Do you think that, over the next few years, Australia will be more or less likely to experience severe bushfires and extreme weather events like floods and cyclones?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total more likely

63%

72%

49%

86%

65%

Total less likely

1%

1%

*

2%

3%

A lot more likely

33%

41%

19%

61%

31%

A little more likely

30%

31%

30%

25%

34%

About the same

33%

26%

47%

11%

29%

A little less likely

1%

1%

2%

2%

A lot less likely

*

*

1%

Don’t know

4%

1%

4%

1%

4%

 

63% think that sever bushfires and extreme weather events will be more likely over the next few years.

86% of Greens voters and 63% of Labor voters think they will be more likely. However, 47% of Liberal/National voters think they will be neither more likely nor less likely.

68% of women think they will be more likely compared to 56% of men.

Extreme events linked to climate change

Nov 4, 2014

Q. And do you think that these extreme events – bushfires, floods, cyclones, etc – are likely or unlikely to be linked to climate change?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Likely to be linked to climate change

76%

83%

63%

96%

63%

Unlikely to be linked to climate change

16%

10%

26%

2%

24%

Don’t know

9%

6%

11%

3%

14%

(Based on the 63% – 625 respondents – who think extreme event are more likely.)

Of those who think extreme events are more likely, 76% think they are likely to be linked to climate change and 16% think they are unlikely to be linked to climate change.

83% of Labor voters and 96% of Greens voters think they are likely to be linked to climate change.