Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q.If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,774 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
7/4/15 |
2 weeks ago 21/4/15 | Last week
28/4/15 |
This week 5/5/15 | |
| Liberal | 36% | 37% | 36% | 37% | ||
| National | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 40% | 41% | 40% | 40% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 39% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
7/4/15 |
2 weeks ago 21/4/15 | Last week
28/4/15 |
This week 5/5/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 47% | 48% | 47% | 47% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,795 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago 17/3/15 |
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 | Last week 7/4/15 |
This week 14/4/15 | |
| Liberal | 37% | 36% | 36% | 37% | ||
| National | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 41% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 39% | 40% | 39% | 39% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago 17/3/15 |
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 | Last week 7/4/15 |
This week 14/4/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 48% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,905 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Liberal | 45% | 44% | 44% | |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6% | 48% | 47% | 47% |
| Labor | 38.0% | 35% | 34% | 33% |
| Greens | 11.8% | 10% | 10% | 11% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6% | 7% | 8% | 9% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 54% | 54% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. Comments »
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Liberal | 45% | 45% | 44% | |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6% | 48% | 48% | 47% |
| Labor | 38.0% | 35% | 35% | 34% |
| Greens | 11.8% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6% | 8% | 7% | 8% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 54% | 54% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,850 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 32% | 41% | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| National | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 43% | 41% | 40% | 41% |
| Labor | 46% | 38% | 39% | 37% | 35% |
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 14% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8 |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 42% | 50% | 49% | 48% | 49% |
| Labor | 58% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
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Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019
In this week's report:
- Performance of Scott Morrison
- Performance of Anthony Albanese
- Preferred Prime Minister
- Influence of the United States of America
- Influence of China
- Most beneficial country to strengthen our relationship with
- Support proposed changes to remove abortion from NSW Criminal Code (NSW only)
- Awareness of Newstart payment amount
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