Federal politics – voting intention

May 5, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q.If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,774 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

7/4/15

2 weeks ago 21/4/15 Last week

28/4/15

This week 5/5/15
Liberal   36% 37% 36% 37%
National   4% 3% 4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 41% 40% 40%
Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 39%
Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 2% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

7/4/15

2 weeks ago 21/4/15 Last week

28/4/15

This week 5/5/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 47% 47%
Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 53% 53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 14, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,795 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago
17/3/15
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 Last week
7/4/15
This week 14/4/15
Liberal   37% 36% 36% 37%
National 3% 4% 4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 40% 39% 39%
Greens 8.6% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago
17/3/15
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 Last week
7/4/15
This week 14/4/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 6, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,905 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Liberal 45% 44% 44%
National 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0% 35% 34% 33%
Greens 11.8% 10% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6% 7% 8% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 30, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Liberal 45% 45% 44%
National 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 48% 47%
Labor 38.0% 35% 35% 34%
Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 15, 2010

Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,850 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 32% 41% 39% 38% 38%
National 3% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 43% 41% 40% 41%
Labor 46% 38% 39% 37% 35%
Greens 10% 10% 9% 12% 14%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 7% 8% 7% 8
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 42% 50% 49% 48% 49%
Labor 58% 50% 51% 52% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
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