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  • Jul, 2017

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    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week 11/7/17 2 weeks ago 4/7/17 4 weeks ago 20/6/17   Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 33%   33% 35% 35%    
    National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
    Total Liberal/National 36%   36% 38% 38%   42.0%
    Labor 38%   36% 36% 35%   34.7%
    Greens 10%   11% 11% 9%   10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   7% 7% 9%    
    Other/Independent 6%   6% 5% 5%   13.1%
    2 party preferred              
    Liberal National 46%   46% 47% 48%   50.4%
    Labor 54%   54% 53% 52%   49.6%

    NB. Sample = 1,830. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

  • Sep, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,772 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago11/8/15 2 weeks ago 25/8/15 Last week1/9/15 This week 8/9/15
    Liberal   38% 38% 37% 36%
    National 3% 3% 3% 4%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 41% 40% 40%
    Labor 33.4% 39% 37% 38% 38%
    Greens 8.6% 11% 10% 11% 11%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 1% 2% 2%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 10% 10% 9%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago11/8/15 2 weeks ago 25/8/15 Last week1/9/15 This week 8/9/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 47% 49% 48% 48%
    Labor 46.5% 53% 51% 52% 52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Sep, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,799 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 4/8/15

    2 weeks ago 18/8/15

    Last week 25/8/15

    This week 1/9/15

    Liberal

    36%

    38%

    38%

    37%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    39%

    41%

    41%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    38%

    37%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    12%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    1%

    2%

    1%

    2%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    2 Party Preferred

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 4/8/15

    2 weeks ago 18/8/15

    Last week 25/8/15

    This week 1/9/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    47%

    48%

    49%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    53%

    52%

    51%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Aug, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,781 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 28/7/15

    2 weeks ago 11/8/15

    Last week 18/8/15

    This week 25/8/15

    Liberal

    36%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    41%

    41%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    39%

    38%

    37%

    Greens

    8.6%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    1%

    1%

    2%

    1%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    2 Party Preferred

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 28/7/15

    2 weeks ago 11/8/15

    Last week 18/8/15

    This week 25/8/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    49%

    Labor

    46.5%

    53%

    53%

    52%

    51%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Aug, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     Sample size = 1,745 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago
    21/7/15
    2 weeks ago 4/8/15 Last week
    11/8/15
    This week 18/8/15
    Liberal   38% 36% 38% 38%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 39% 40% 41%
    Labor 33.4% 38% 38% 39% 38%
    Greens 8.6% 11% 12% 11% 10%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 1% 2%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 8% 9%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago21/7/15 2 weeks ago 4/8/15 Last week11/8/15 This week 18/8/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 48%
    Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Aug, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     Sample size = 1,845 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election
    7 Sep 13
      4 weeks ago
    14/7/15
    2 weeks ago 28/7/15 Last week
    4/8/15
    This week 11/8/15
    Liberal   38% 36% 36% 38%
    National 3% 4% 3% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 40% 39% 40%
    Labor 33.4% 38% 38% 38% 39%
    Greens 8.6% 11% 11% 12% 11%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 1% 1%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 8%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election
    7 Sep 13
      4 weeks ago
    14/7/15
    2 weeks ago
    28/7/15
    Last week
    4/8/15
    This week 11/8/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 47%
    Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Aug, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     Sample size = 1,866 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    7 Sep 13

      4 weeks ago

    7/7/15

    2 weeks ago 21/7/15 Last week

    28/7/15

    This week 4/8/15
    Liberal   38% 38% 36% 36%
    National 3% 3% 4% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 41% 40% 39%
    Labor 33.4% 39% 38% 38% 38%
    Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 11% 12%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 2% 1% 1%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election

    7 Sep 13

      4 weeks ago

    7/7/15

    2 weeks ago 21/7/15 Last week

    28/7/15

    This week 4/8/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 48% 48% 47% 47%
    Labor 46.5% 52% 52% 53% 53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jul, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,793 respondents  

    First preference/leaning to Election

    7 Sep 13

      4 weeks ago

    30/6/15

    2 weeks ago 14/7/15 Last week

    21/7/15

    This week 28/7/15
    Liberal   38% 38% 38% 36%
    National 3% 3% 3% 4%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 41% 41% 40%
    Labor 33.4% 39% 38% 38% 38%
    Greens 8.6% 11% 11% 11% 11%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 2% 2% 1%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 9% 9% 9%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election

    7 Sep 13

      4 weeks ago

    30/6/15

    2 weeks ago 14/7/15 Last week

    21/7/15

    This week 28/7/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 48% 47%
    Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 52% 53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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