Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 21, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,789 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 23/6/15

2 weeks ago 7/7/15

Last week 14/7/15

This week 21/7/15

Liberal

38%

38%

38%

38%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

41%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

11%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

9%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 23/6/15

2 weeks ago 7/7/15

Last week 14/7/15

This week 21/7/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 14, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

Sample size = 1,771 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago16/6/15 2 weeks ago 30/6/15 Last week7/7/15 This week 14/7/15
Liberal   39% 38% 38% 38%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 42% 41% 41% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 38%
Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 10% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 8% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago16/6/15 2 weeks ago 30/6/15 Last week7/7/15 This week 14/7/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 48% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 52% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 30, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,816 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 2/6/15

2 weeks ago 16/6/15

Last week 23/6/15

This week 30/6/15

Liberal

38%

39%

38%

38%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

42%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

40%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

8%

8%

8%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 2/6/15

2 weeks ago 16/6/15

Last week 23/6/15

This week 30/6/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 10, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,815 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 12/5/15

2 weeks ago 26/5/15

Last week 2/6/15

This week 9/6/15

Liberal

38%

38%

38%

38%

National

3%

4%

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

41%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

40%

40%

Greens

8.6%

11%

10%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

8%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 12/5/15

2 weeks ago 26/5/15

Last week 2/6/15

This week 9/6/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 12, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,773 respondents  

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago14/4/15 2 weeks ago 28/4/15 Last week5/5/15 This week 12/5/15
Liberal   37% 36% 37% 38%
National 3% 4% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 40% 40% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 39%
Greens 8.6% 10% 10% 10% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 8%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago14/4/15 2 weeks ago 28/4/15 Last week5/5/15 This week 12/5/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 8, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,794 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago10/3/15 2 weeks ago 24/3/15 Last week31/3/15 This week 7/4/15
Liberal   37% 37% 36% 36%
National 3% 3% 4% 4%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Labor 33.4% 40% 41% 40% 39%
Greens 8.6% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 1% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 8% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago10/3/15 2 weeks ago 24/3/15 Last week31/3/15 This week 7/4/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 46% 47% 47%
Labor 46.5% 53% 54% 53% 53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 31, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,786 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

3/3/15

2 weeks ago 17/3/15 Last week

24/3/15

This week 31/3/15
Liberal   37% 37% 37% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 4%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Labor 33.4% 41% 39% 41% 40%
Greens 8.6% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 8% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

3/3/15

2 weeks ago 17/3/15 Last week

24/3/15

This week 31/3/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 46% 47%
Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 54% 53%

The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 24, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,782 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

24/2/15

2 weeks ago 10/3/15

Last week

17/3/15

This week 24/3/15

Liberal

 

38%

37%

37%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

40%

39%

41%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

2%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

24/2/15

2 weeks ago 10/3/15

Last week

17/3/15

This week 24/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

47%

48%

46%

Labor

46.5%

53%

53%

52%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Pages:«12345»

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.