Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 3, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,820 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

3/2/15

2 weeks ago 17/2/15

Last week

24/2/15

This week 3/3/15

Liberal

 

35%

36%

38%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

38%

39%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

41%

41%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

3/2/15

2 weeks ago 17/2/15

Last week

24/2/15

This week 3/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

46%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

54%

54%

53%

53%

 

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 24, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

Sample size = 1,836 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

27/1/15

2 weeks ago 10/2/15

Last week

17/2/15

This week 24/2/15

Liberal

 

36%

36%

36%

38%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

39%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

41%

41%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

3%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

27/1/15

2 weeks ago 10/2/15

Last week

17/2/15

This week 24/2/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

46%

46%

47%

Labor

46.5%

54%

54%

54%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 17, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,796 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

20/1/15

2 weeks ago 3/2/15

Last week

10/2/15

This week 17/2/15

Liberal

 

36%

35%

36%

36%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

38%

39%

39%

Labor

33.4%

40%

41%

41%

41%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

3%

3%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

20/1/15

2 weeks ago 3/2/15

Last week

10/2/15

This week 17/2/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

46%

46%

46%

Labor

46.5%

53%

54%

54%

54%

 

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 10, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

Sample size = 1,780 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

2 weeks ago 27/1/15

Last week

3/2/15

This week 10/2/15

Liberal

 

36%

35%

36%

National

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

38%

39%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

41%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

2 weeks ago 27/1/15

Last week

3/2/15

This week 10/2/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

46%

46%

Labor

46.5%

54%

54%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 3, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,799 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

2 weeks ago 20/1/15

Last week

27/01/15

This week 3/2/15

Liberal

 

36%

36%

35%

National

4%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

39%

38%

Labor

33.4%

40%

41%

41%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

2 weeks ago 20/1/15

Last week

27/01/15

This week 3/2/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

46%

46%

Labor

46.5%

53%

54%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 20, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,775 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

5 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

20/01/15

Liberal

 

35%

36%

National

4%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

10%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

5 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

20/01/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 2, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,761 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/11/14

2 weeks ago

18/11/14

Last week

25/11/14

This week

2/12/14

Liberal

 

37%

37%

38%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

38%

39%

40%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/11/14

2 weeks ago

18/11/14

Last week

25/11/14

This week

2/12/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 4, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,776 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 7/10/14

2 weeks ago

21/10/14

Last week

28/10/14

This week

4/11/14

Liberal

 

38%

37%

36%

37%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 7/10/14

2 weeks ago

21/10/14

Last week

28/10/14

This week

4/11/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

 

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Pages:«12345»

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.