Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 21, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,801 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 23/9/14

2 weeks ago

7/10/14

Last week

14/10/14

This week

21/10/14

Liberal

 

36%

38%

38%

37%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

41%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 23/9/14

2 weeks ago

7/10/14

Last week

14/10/14

This week

21/10/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 26, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,823 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/7/14

2 weeks ago

12/8/14

Last week

19/8/14

This week

26/8/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

37%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

41%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/7/14

2 weeks ago

12/8/14

Last week

19/8/14

This week

26/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

49%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

51%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 19, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,838 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 22/7/14

2 weeks ago

5/8/14

Last week

12/8/14

This week

19/8/14

Liberal

 

37%

39%

38%

37%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

41%

41%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

4%

5%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 15/7/14

2 weeks ago

29/7/14

Last week

5/8/14

This week

12/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

49%

49%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

51%

51%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 12, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,845 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 15/7/14

2 weeks ago

29/7/14

Last week

5/8/14

This week

12/8/14

Liberal

 

35%

38%

39%

38%

National

3%

2%

2%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

38%

41%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

40%

38%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

6%

5%

4%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 15/7/14

2 weeks ago

29/7/14

Last week

5/8/14

This week

12/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

46.5%

53%

51%

51%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 5, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,873 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 8/7/14

2 weeks ago

22/7/14

Last week

29/7/14

This week

5/8/14

Liberal

 

36%

36%

38%

39%

National

3%

3%

2%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

39%

39%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

40%

39%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

6%

6%

5%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 8/7/14

2 weeks ago

22/7/14

Last week

29/7/14

This week

5/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

49%

49%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

51%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 29, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,982 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 1/7/14

2 weeks ago

15/7/14

Last week

22/7/14

This week

29/7/14

Liberal

 

37%

35%

36%

38%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

38%

39%

41%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

6%

6%

6%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 1/7/14

2 weeks ago

15/7/14

Last week

22/7/14

This week

29/7/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

48%

49%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

52%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 22, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,965 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 24/6/14

2 weeks ago

8/7/14

Last week

15/7/14

This week

22/7/14

Liberal

 

37%

36%

35%

36%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

39%

38%

39%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

6%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 17/6/14

2 weeks ago

1/7/14

Last week

8/7/14

This week

15/7/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 15, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,818 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 17/6/14

2 weeks ago

1/7/14

Last week

8/7/14

This week

15/7/14

Liberal

 

36%

37%

36%

35%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

39%

40%

39%

38%

Labor

33.4%

41%

38%

40%

40%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

6%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 17/6/14

2 weeks ago

1/7/14

Last week

8/7/14

This week

15/7/14

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

54%

52%

53%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

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