Federal politics – voting intention

May 23, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,881

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 44% 43% 44%
National 4% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 47% 47% 46% 46%
Labor 38.0 35% 35% 36% 34%
Greens 11.8 10% 10% 11% 12%
Other/Independent 6.6 8% 8% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 52% 53%
Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 48% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Awareness of Superannuation Plan

May 23, 2011

Q. The Federal Government is proposing to increase superannuation payments from nine per cent to 12 per cent by 2019-20. How much have you heard about this proposal?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
A lot 4% 4% 4% 2%
Something 13% 15% 13% 17%
A little 27% 25% 32% 28%
Nothing 53% 54% 50% 53%
Don’t know 3% 2% 1%

There was low awareness of the Government’s proposal to increase superannuation payments from nine per cent to 12 per cent by 2019-20 – only 17% say they have heard a lot or something about it.

22% of full-time workers and 16% of part-time workers have heard a lot/something about it.

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Support for Superannuation Plan

May 23, 2011

Q. Based on what you know, do you support or oppose the proposal to increase superannuation payments from nine per cent to 12 per cent by 2019-20?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 69% 77% 67% 78%
Total oppose 13% 8% 20% 4%
Strongly support 21% 27% 17% 30%
Support 48% 50% 50% 48%
Oppose 10% 7% 15% 4%
Strongly oppose 3% 1% 5%
Don’t know 18% 14% 13% 18%

69% support the proposal to increase superannuation payments from nine per cent to 12 per cent by 2019-20 and 13% oppose.

75% of full-time workers and 69% of part-time workers support the proposal.

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Federal politics – voting intention

May 16, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size =1,871

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 44% 44% 43%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 47% 47% 47% 46%
Labor 38.0 35% 35% 35% 36%
Greens 11.8 11% 9% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 8% 9% 8% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54% 52%
Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46% 48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

May 9, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size =1,856

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 43% 44% 44%
National 3% 4% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 47% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0 35% 35% 35% 35%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 9% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 8% 8% 9% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 53% 54% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 47% 46% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

May 2, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size =1,857

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 43% 43% 44%
National 3% 3% 4% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 47% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0 36% 35% 35% 35%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 9%
Other/Independent 6.6 8% 8% 8% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 53% 54% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 47% 46% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Interest in Federal Politics

May 2, 2011

Q. When it comes to following Federal politics, which best describes you?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
I follow it closely 10% 12% 13% 8% 7% 10% 17%
I follow it enough to know what’s happening 45% 46% 49% 45% 30% 49% 57%
I follow it when something big is happening 18% 19% 20% 24% 27% 14% 15%
I only pay attention when there’s an election 8% 7% 9% 6% 13% 8% 3%
I have no interest in politics 14% 14% 8% 15% 17% 16% 6%
Can’t say 4% 2% 1% 2% 6% 4% 2%

55% say they follow Federal politics closely or enough to know what’s happening, 26% follow it only at elections or when something big is happening and 14% have no interest in politics.

Older respondents tended to follow Federal politics more closely than younger respondents – 74% of those aged 55+ follow it closely or enough to know what’s happening compared to only 37% of those aged 18-34. Greens voters (53%) were a little less likely to follow politics than Labor (58%) or Liberal/National voters (62%).

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Change in Interest in Federal Politics

May 2, 2011

Q. Over the last few years has your interest in following Federal politics increased or decreased?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Total increased 29% 30% 35% 32% 37% 26% 25%
Total decreased 11% 11% 6% 15% 11% 12% 11%
Increased a lot 8% 10% 10% 7% 11% 7% 8%
Increased a little 21% 20% 25% 25% 26% 19% 17%
Stayed much the same 56% 56% 59% 54% 47% 60% 62%
Decreased a little 6% 7% 4% 7% 4% 6% 8%
Decreased a lot 5% 4% 2% 8% 7% 6% 3%
Can’t say 4% 3% * 7% 3% 1%

56% say their interest in following Federal politics has stayed much the same, 29% have more interest and 11% less interest.

Respondents aged 18-34 were more likely to have more interest in following Federal politics (37%) while older voters’ interest was more likely to have stayed much the same.

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