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  • Apr, 2014

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,842 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 25/3/14

    2 weeks ago

    8/4/14

    Last week

    15/4/14

    This week

    22/4/14

    Liberal

     

    41%

    40%

    40%

    39%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    44%

    42%

    42%

    41%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    37%

    37%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    11%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    6%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 25/3/14

    2 weeks ago

    8/4/14

    Last week

    15/4/14

    This week

    22/4/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    51%

    49%

    50%

    49%

    Labor

    46.5%

    49%

    51%

    50%

    51%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Apr, 2014

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,867 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 4/3/14

    2 weeks ago

    18/3/14

    Last week

    25/3/14

    This week

    1/4/14

    Liberal

     

    41%

    40%

    41%

    40%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    42%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    36%

    37%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    3%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 4/3/14

    2 weeks ago

    18/3/14

    Last week

    25/3/14

    This week

    1/4/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    51%

    51%

    51%

    49%

    Labor

    46.5%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    51%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


     

  • Jul, 2013

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    Involvement in politics

    Q. Thinking about Federal politics and the election, which of the following have you personally done in the last week?

     

     

    Total

     

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Seen any TV advertising by political parties

    43%

    46%

    44%

    38%

    Received printed material from candidates.

    27%

    26%

    27%

    35%

    Read about Federal politics in a newspaper

    41%

    43%

    43%

    39%

    Watched Federal politicians on TV

    56%

    63%

    54%

    57%

    Listened to Federal politicians on the radio

    22%

    21%

    22%

    32%

    Listened to commentators talking about Federal politics on the radio

    30%

    32%

    29%

    34%

    Watched commentators talking about Federal politics on the TV

    48%

    54%

    47%

    47%

    Read anything about Federal politics on the internet

    39%

    47%

    33%

    49%

    Discussed Federal politics and the election with friends or family

    50%

    56%

    46%

    60%

    TV was the most common way for respondents to engage with politics over the past week. 56% said they had watched Federal politicians on TV and 48% had watched commentators talking about Federal politics on TV.

    Labor voters were more likely to watch politicians (63%) or commentators (54%) on TV and also more likely to use the internet to read about politics (47%).

    There were some substantial differences by age group – 30% of respondents aged under 35 read about politics in a newspaper compared to 57% of those aged 55+ and 42% of aged under 35 watched politicians on TV compared to 71% of aged 55+.

  • Jul, 2013

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,778 respondent

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    11/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    24/6/13

    Last week

    1/7/13

    This week

    8/7/13

    Liberal

     

    44%

    44%

    43%

    42%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    34%

    36%

    38%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    9%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    11%

    9%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    11/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    24/6/13

    Last week

    1/7/13

    This week

    8/7/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    54%

    55%

    53%

    52%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    45%

    47%

    48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,792 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    1/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    15/10/12

    Last week

    22/10/12

    This week

    29/10/12

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Jul, 2012

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,854 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    25/6/12

    2 weeks ago

    9/7/12

    Last week

    16/7/12

    This week

    23/7/12

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    National

    3%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    31%

    31%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • Jun, 2012

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,842 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    21/5/12

    2 weeks ago

    4/6/12

    Last week

    12/6/12

    This week

    18/6/12

    Liberal

    46%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    50%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    7%

    9%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • May, 2012

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,884 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    30/4/12

    2 weeks ago

    14/5/12

    Last week

    21/5/12

    This week

    28/5/12

    Liberal

    46%

    47%

    46%

    47%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    50%

    50%

    49%

    50%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    30%

    33%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    7

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    57%

    56%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    43%

    44%

    43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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